Sport Picks
Alajuelense vs Herediano
Costa Rica
Primera Division Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela 
AI Match Summary
Alajuelense host Herediano in the Primera Division. This one's hard to separate. Herediano have shipped 0.79 goals a game lately, while Alajuelense have conceded 1.17 and scored 1.52. Past meetings favor Alajuelense slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 10, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 0.94) point toward Herediano. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Herediano lately — more wins on the board than Alajuelense.
- Win probability leans Alajuelense's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alajuelense | Herediano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alajuelense's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Alajuelense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Difficult form: Herediano registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Alajuelense
(Home)Herediano
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cartagines | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18:9 | 18 |
| 2 | Saprissa | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18:10 | 18 |
| 3 | Sporting FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Inter San Carlos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 14 |
| 5 | San Carlos | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7:9 | 12 |
| 6 | Alajuelense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Puntarenas FC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | 8 |
| 8 | Zeledon | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:12 | 8 |
| 9 | Herediano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:12 | 7 |
| 10 | Escorpiones | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:14 | 4 |
