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Alajuelense W vs Gotham FC W

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Champions Cup Women 2024/2025 Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alajuelense W play Gotham FC W in the CONCACAF Champions Cup Women 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alajuelense W averaged 0.88 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. Gotham FC W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Alajuelense W won 0, Gotham FC W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 6, 2024 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Alajuelense W and 0.99 for Gotham FC W. This points to a Gotham FC W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Alajuelense W
21%
Draws
55%
Gotham FC W
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Gotham FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Alajuelense W picked up more points recently compared to Gotham FC W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23%
Alajuelense W Clean Sheet 23%
Gotham FC W Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alajuelense W Gotham FC W
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 2 14
Draws 1 7
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.9

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2024 CONCACAF Champions Cup Women
Alajuelense W vs Gotham FC W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alajuelense W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Gotham FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez Rodriguez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nighswonger J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alajuelense W 26 / 100
Gotham FC W 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alajuelense W Gotham FC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gotham FC W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Gotham FC W & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alajuelense W attacking → ← attacking Gotham FC W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alajuelense W scored in 38% of their last 8 games.

Gotham FC W let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Alajuelense W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gotham FC W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 49
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tigres UANL W431018:610
2Gotham FC W422021:48
3Monterrey W42118:47
4Alajuelense W41036:103
5Frazsiers Whip W40041:300
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Club America W430114:39
2Portland Thorns FC W430113:59
3San Diego Wave W43017:39
4Vancouver Whitecaps W41032:163
5Santa Fe W40042:110