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Alamal SC Atbara vs Ahli Khartoum

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alamal SC Atbara play Ahli Khartoum in the Premier League 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alamal SC Atbara averaged 1.1 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Ahli Khartoum averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Alamal SC Atbara won 1, Ahli Khartoum won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 7, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Alamal SC Atbara and 0.88 for Ahli Khartoum. This points to a Alamal SC Atbara double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Alamal SC Atbara
34%
Draws
29%
Ahli Khartoum
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Alamal SC Atbara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Alamal SC Atbara picked up more points recently compared to Ahli Khartoum.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Alamal SC Atbara Clean Sheet 25%
Ahli Khartoum Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alamal SC Atbara Ahli Khartoum
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 11 11
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2025 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Ahli Khartoum
2:0
Jan 25, 2025 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Alamal SC Atbara
1:1
Dec 30, 2022 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Alamal SC Atbara
1:0
Jul 12, 2022 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Ahli Khartoum
0:2
Mar 15, 2022 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Alamal SC Atbara
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alamal SC Atbara 38 / 100
Ahli Khartoum 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alamal SC Atbara Ahli Khartoum

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alamal SC Atbara or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +22.1%
3.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alamal SC Atbara attacking → ← attacking Ahli Khartoum

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alamal SC Atbara scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Ahli Khartoum let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Alamal SC Atbara went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ahli Khartoum lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 32
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Mergheni83419:613
2Hilal Alsahil82607:512
3Al Shorta82338:89
4Al Hilal Manaqil82338:79
5Hay al-Arab82248:148
6Wad Nobawi00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Merreikh Obeid1061318:1219
2Zamala Ruwaba1045116:1117
3Rabita Kosti103528:914
4Hilal El-Fasher1033414:1412
5Haidob Al Nuhod1033410:1312
6Merikh Nyala101369:166
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hay Al Wadi63306:312
2Umm Mughad61505:48
3Al-Ahly Merowe61322:36
4Kober61143:64
5Al Zoma00000:00
6Tuti00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Madani851211:616
2Alamal SC Atbara835011:714
3Ahli Khartoum82338:109
4Alfalah Atbra82337:99
5Ahli Shendi81252:75