Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Piracicaba vs Noroeste

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Rafael Silva
90' Event
Silva A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Piracicaba
35%
Draws
45%
Noroeste
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Noroeste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Piracicaba lately — more wins on the board than Noroeste.
  • Win probability leans Noroeste's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Piracicaba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Piracicaba, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Piracicaba Clean Sheet 21%
Noroeste Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piracicaba Noroeste
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 13 13
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Copa Paulista
Noroeste vs Piracicaba
2:1
Aug 1, 2026 Copa Paulista
Piracicaba vs Noroeste
1:1
May 30, 2026 Serie D
Piracicaba vs Noroeste
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Serie D
Noroeste vs Piracicaba
2:2
Mar 6, 2024 Paulista A2
Piracicaba vs Noroeste
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piracicaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Noroeste Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafael Silva
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piracicaba 29 / 100
Noroeste 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piracicaba Noroeste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Noroeste Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Piracicaba scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Noroeste conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Piracicaba has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Piracicaba VS Noroeste
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Piracicaba

(Home)
22 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
18 Aug
Comercial
0 : 1
Piracicaba
09 Aug
Noroeste
2 : 1
Piracicaba
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1
Noroeste
25 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 2
Comercial
Page 1 of 6

Noroeste

(Away)
19 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 0
Primavera EC
12 Sept
Primavera EC
2 : 2
Noroeste
22 Aug
Noroeste
4 : 3
Comercial
19 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 1
Noroeste
09 Aug
Noroeste
2 : 1
Piracicaba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linense 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 Bandeirante 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
3 Gremio Prudente 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Marilia 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noroeste 6 2 3 1 10:10 9
2 Uniao Sao Joao 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
3 Comercial 6 2 1 3 8:7 7
4 Piracicaba 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus-SP 6 3 1 2 11:5 10
2 Primavera EC 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Paulista 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
4 Osasco Sporting 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 EC Sao Bernardo 6 3 0 3 12:8 9
3 Sao Caetano 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
4 Santo Andre 6 3 1 2 4:5 0
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)