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Piracicaba vs Noroeste

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Paulista. Little to choose between these two on current form. Noroeste have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Piracicaba have conceded 1.13 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Piracicaba have won 2 to Noroeste's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.19, favoring Piracicaba. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Piracicaba
30%
Draws
34%
Noroeste
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Piracicaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Piracicaba lately — more wins on the board than Noroeste.
  • Win probability leans Piracicaba's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Piracicaba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Piracicaba, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Piracicaba Clean Sheet 20%
Noroeste Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piracicaba Noroeste
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 15 11
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Serie D
Piracicaba vs Noroeste
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Serie D
Noroeste vs Piracicaba
2:2
Mar 6, 2024 Paulista A2
Piracicaba vs Noroeste
5:2
Jan 14, 2023 Paulista A2
Noroeste vs Piracicaba
1:3
Oct 5, 2021 Copa Paulista
Noroeste vs Piracicaba
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piracicaba 36 / 100
Noroeste 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piracicaba Noroeste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Piracicaba scored in 69% of their last 42 games.

Defensive concern: Noroeste conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Piracicaba has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Piracicaba VS Noroeste
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Piracicaba

(Home)
25 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 2
Comercial
22 Jul
Uniao Sao Joao
0 : 0
Piracicaba
11 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 0
Cianorte
04 Jul
Cianorte
4 : 0
Piracicaba
27 Jun
Piracicaba
2 : 0
America RJ
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Noroeste

(Away)
25 Jul
Noroeste
2 : 2
Uniao Sao Joao
18 Jul
Comercial
2 : 0
Noroeste
28 Jun
Noroeste
1 : 3
Portuguesa RJ
21 Jun
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 1
Noroeste
07 Jun
Noroeste
1 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Linense21103:14
2Gremio Prudente21011:13
3Marilia21012:33
4Bandeirante20110:11
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comercial22004:06
2Uniao Sao Joao20202:22
3Noroeste20112:41
4Piracicaba20110:21
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Juventus-SP22004:16
2Primavera EC21012:13
3Paulista21012:33
4Osasco Sporting20020:30
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Jose EC22004:26
2EC Sao Bernardo21014:33
3Sao Caetano20111:21
4Santo Andre20111:31
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)