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Xelaju vs Antigua Prediction & H2H Stats

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Casas D.
39'
Mejia O.
44'
Gonzalez J.

AI Match Summary

Xelaju in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Xelaju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Xelaju
20%
Draws
51%
Antigua
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Antigua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Antigua lately — more wins on the board than Xelaju.
  • Win probability leans Xelaju's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 68%
Antigua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xelaju Antigua
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 14 18
Draws 11 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.67 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Antigua
4:0
Mar 15, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Antigua
1:1
Jan 26, 2026 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Xelaju
1:1
Dec 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Xelaju
2:0
Dec 9, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Antigua
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xelaju Compare

Top Goalscorer Casas D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaen Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Antigua Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xelaju 68 / 100
Antigua 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xelaju Antigua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xelaju Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xelaju's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Antigua has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Xelaju stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xelaju VS Antigua
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Xelaju

(Home)
27 Sept
Xelaju
2 : 3
Comunicaciones
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Xelaju
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Xelaju
11 Sept
Xelaju
0 : 0
Coban Imperial
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Antigua

(Away)
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Antigua
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
05 Sept
Antigua
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 10 7 2 1 16:5 23
2 Guastatoya 11 7 1 3 17:12 22
3 Antigua 10 7 0 3 20:15 21
4 Deportivo San Pedro 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
5 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
6 Marquense 11 5 1 5 11:14 16
7 Xelaju 11 4 3 4 22:14 15
8 Aurora F.C. 11 4 0 7 16:19 12
9 Malacateco 11 3 3 5 12:17 12
10 Comunicaciones 11 3 2 6 12:19 11
11 Coban Imperial 11 2 4 5 13:18 10
12 Suchitepequez 11 1 3 7 11:23 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)