Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alamal SC Atbara vs Al-Ahly Merowe

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alamal SC Atbara play Al-Ahly Merowe in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alamal SC Atbara averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1 conceded. Al-Ahly Merowe averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Alamal SC Atbara won 0, Al-Ahly Merowe won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 3, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Alamal SC Atbara and 1.00 for Al-Ahly Merowe. This points to a Al-Ahly Merowe double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Alamal SC Atbara
20%
Draws
38%
Al-Ahly Merowe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alamal SC Atbara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Alamal SC Atbara has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Al-Ahly Merowe.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Alamal SC Atbara.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Alamal SC Atbara Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Ahly Merowe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alamal SC Atbara Al-Ahly Merowe
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 4
Draws 11 13
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2026 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Alamal SC Atbara
1:1
Jan 15, 2026 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Al-Ahly Merowe
0:1
Apr 6, 2023 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Alamal SC Atbara
3:1
Nov 24, 2022 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Al-Ahly Merowe
1:1
Jun 29, 2022 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Alamal SC Atbara
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alamal SC Atbara 42 / 100
Al-Ahly Merowe 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alamal SC Atbara Al-Ahly Merowe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alamal SC Atbara scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Al-Ahly Merowe let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Alamal SC Atbara went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al-Ahly Merowe lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alamal SC Atbara VS Al-Ahly Merowe
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman II1064017:522
2Hilal Alsahil1054113:619
3Al Shorta103438:613
4Al Taqadom1025312:1411
5Al-Mergheni100739:147
6Kober101273:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani10100024:630
2Umm Mughad1053218:818
3Al Hilal Manaqil1035210:714
4Rabita Kosti103167:1410
5Ahli Khartoum101367:216
6Merikh Kosti101277:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh II1064015:722
2Alfalah Atbra103435:413
3Al Saham Ad Damer1026210:912
4Al Hilal Karima1032511:1711
5Alamal SC Atbara102448:1010
6Al-Ahly Merowe101636:89
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hilal El-Fasher1054111:719
2Hay Al Wadi1043314:1315
3Haidob Al Nuhod1043313:815
4Al Fajr1033416:1812
5Zamala Ruwaba1032511:1311
6Al-Merreikh Obeid1031614:2010