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Alamal SC Atbara vs Wad Hashim Sennar

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This Premier League 2018/2019 encounter between Alamal SC Atbara and Wad Hashim Sennar promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Alamal SC Atbara averages 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded in recent matches. Wad Hashim Sennar shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Alamal SC Atbara, 1 wins for Wad Hashim Sennar, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 26.06.19 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.35 for Alamal SC Atbara and 1.00 for Wad Hashim Sennar, suggesting the primary value lies in the Alamal SC Atbara double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Alamal SC Atbara
35%
Draws
30%
Wad Hashim Sennar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alamal SC Atbara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Alamal SC Atbara picked up more points recently compared to Wad Hashim Sennar.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Alamal SC Atbara Clean Sheet 23%
Wad Hashim Sennar Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 53%
Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alamal SC Atbara Wad Hashim Sennar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 11 13
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.13 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

26.06.19 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Wad Hashim Sennar
0:1
22.09.18 Premier League
Alamal SC Atbara vs Wad Hashim Sennar
3:0
07.08.18 Premier League
Wad Hashim Sennar vs Alamal SC Atbara
1:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Alamal SC Atbara

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Wad Hashim Sennar

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alamal SC Atbara 36 / 100
Wad Hashim Sennar 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alamal SC Atbara Wad Hashim Sennar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alamal SC Atbara or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +20.8%
3.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Alamal SC Atbara 39%
Wad Hashim Sennar 24%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Alamal SC Atbara 33%
Wad Hashim Sennar 32%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Alamal SC Atbara 35%
Wad Hashim Sennar 30%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Alamal SC Atbara 37%
Wad Hashim Sennar 29%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Alamal SC Atbara 32%
Wad Hashim Sennar 33%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Alamal SC Atbara 40%
Wad Hashim Sennar 35%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alamal SC Atbara attacking → ← attacking Wad Hashim Sennar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alamal SC Atbara have found the net in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Wad Hashim Sennar have conceded at least one goal in 70% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.

Alamal SC Atbara remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Wad Hashim Sennar suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 34
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ahli Khartoum73317:512
2Hay al-Arab73229:911
3Al Hilal Kadougli72419:710
4Alamal SC Atbara73139:810
5Rabita Kosti72325:59
6Al-Ahly Merowe71516:68
7Al Mourada71333:66
8Wad Hashim Sennar71335:76