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Alamein FC W vs Heidelberg Utd W

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Women
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AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria Women game between Alamein FC W and Heidelberg Utd W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heidelberg Utd W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Alamein FC W
6%
Draws
4%
Heidelberg Utd W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alamein FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alamein FC W come out ahead of Heidelberg Utd W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Alamein FC W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Alamein FC W Clean Sheet 20%
Heidelberg Utd W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alamein FC W Heidelberg Utd W
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 11 6
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Heidelberg Utd W vs Alamein FC W
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Alamein FC W vs Heidelberg Utd W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alamein FC W 85 / 100
Heidelberg Utd W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alamein FC W Heidelberg Utd W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heidelberg Utd W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 95% of 22 matches.

Attacking prowess: Alamein FC W scored in 73% of their last 22 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Alamein FC W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alamein FC W VS Heidelberg Utd W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alamein FC W

(Home)
24 Jul
Box Hill W
2 : 0
Alamein FC W
18 Jul
Alamein FC W
1 : 1
South Melbourne W
11 Jul
Heidelberg Utd W
1 : 2
Alamein FC W
04 Jul
Alamein FC W
2 : 0
Preston Lions W
26 Jun
Bentleigh Greens W
1 : 1
Alamein FC W
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Heidelberg Utd W

(Away)
25 Jul
Heidelberg Utd W
0 : 4
Avondale FC W
18 Jul
Bulleen Lions W
1 : 1
Heidelberg Utd W
11 Jul
Heidelberg Utd W
1 : 2
Alamein FC W
03 Jul
Spring Hills W
1 : 0
Heidelberg Utd W
27 Jun
Heidelberg Utd W
1 : 3
Boroondara Eagles W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Box Hill W22162459:2450
2Essendon Royals W22152563:2447
3Bulleen Lions W22144453:2146
4Avondale FC W22142655:2244
5Boroondara Eagles W22131847:3440
6South Melbourne W22116543:2239
7Alamein FC W22113828:2436
8Spring Hills W22821226:3226
9Melbourne Victory U20 W21821135:4626
10Heidelberg Utd W22651132:4423
11Preston Lions W22651126:4123
12Keilor Park W22651122:3823
13Bentleigh Greens W22221817:748
14Melbourne City U20 W21211820:807
Promotion - NPL Victoria Women (Play Offs)