Sport Picks
Alamein FC W vs South Melbourne W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL Victoria Women 
AI Match Summary
The NPL Victoria Women game between Alamein FC W and South Melbourne W finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alamein FC W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- South Melbourne W's 1.85 goals per match outpaces what Alamein FC W have produced (1.31).
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Alamein FC W taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Alamein FC W Clean Sheet 20%
South Melbourne W Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alamein FC W | South Melbourne W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Alamein FC W vs South Melbourne W
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
South Melbourne W vs Alamein FC W
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alamein FC W 42 / 100
South Melbourne W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alamein FC W South Melbourne W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alamein FC W scored in 73% of their last 26 games.
South Melbourne W has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
South Melbourne W lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Alamein FC W VS South Melbourne W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Alamein FC W
(Home) 30 Aug
Alamein FC W
2 : 0 Bulleen Lions W
22 Aug
Melbourne Victory U20 W
2 : 1 Alamein FC W
14 Aug
Spring Hills W
0 : 3 Alamein FC W
08 Aug
Alamein FC W
0 : 1 Boroondara Eagles W
24 Jul
Box Hill W
2 : 0 Alamein FC W
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Alamein FC W
2 : 0 Bulleen Lions W
08 Aug
Alamein FC W
0 : 1 Boroondara Eagles W
18 Jul
Alamein FC W
1 : 1 South Melbourne W
04 Jul
Alamein FC W
2 : 0 Preston Lions W
06 Jun
Alamein FC W
2 : 1 Melbourne City U20 W
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South Melbourne W
(Away) 05 Sept
Bulleen Lions W
2 : 1 South Melbourne W
30 Aug
South Melbourne W
3 : 1 Essendon Royals W
23 Aug
Melbourne City U20 W
0 : 3 South Melbourne W
15 Aug
South Melbourne W
0 : 1 Keilor Park W
08 Aug
Avondale FC W
1 : 0 South Melbourne W
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05 Sept
Bulleen Lions W
2 : 1 South Melbourne W
23 Aug
Melbourne City U20 W
0 : 3 South Melbourne W
08 Aug
Avondale FC W
1 : 0 South Melbourne W
18 Jul
Alamein FC W
1 : 1 South Melbourne W
05 Jul
Boroondara Eagles W
1 : 0 South Melbourne W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Box Hill W | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 67:27 | 60 |
| 2 | Essendon Royals W | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 77:31 | 56 |
| 3 | Avondale FC W | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 65:27 | 52 |
| 4 | Bulleen Lions W | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 59:28 | 52 |
| 5 | South Melbourne W | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 49:25 | 45 |
| 6 | Boroondara Eagles W | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 53:40 | 45 |
| 7 | Alamein FC W | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 34:27 | 42 |
| 8 | Melbourne Victory U20 W | 26 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 48:54 | 35 |
| 9 | Heidelberg Utd W | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 38:48 | 32 |
| 10 | Preston Lions W | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 31:47 | 30 |
| 11 | Keilor Park W | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 25:45 | 27 |
| 12 | Spring Hills W | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 30:46 | 26 |
| 13 | Bentleigh Greens W | 26 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 22:81 | 12 |
| 14 | Melbourne City U20 W | 26 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 22:94 | 7 |
Promotion - NPL Victoria Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria Women (Play Offs)
