Sport Picks
Alamein FC W vs South Melbourne W
Australia
NPL Victoria Women 
AI Match Summary
The NPL Victoria Women game between Alamein FC W and South Melbourne W finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- South Melbourne W's 1.5 goals per match outpaces what Alamein FC W have produced (1.38).
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Alamein FC W Clean Sheet 17%
South Melbourne W Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alamein FC W | South Melbourne W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 21 | 21 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Alamein FC W vs South Melbourne W
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
South Melbourne W vs Alamein FC W
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alamein FC W 30 / 100
South Melbourne W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alamein FC W South Melbourne W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ALA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alamein FC W scored in 76% of their last 21 games.
South Melbourne W has conceded goals in 71% of their last 21 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Alamein FC W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Alamein FC W VS South Melbourne W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Alamein FC W
(Home) 18 Jul
Alamein FC W
1 : 1 South Melbourne W
11 Jul
Heidelberg Utd W
1 : 2 Alamein FC W
04 Jul
Alamein FC W
2 : 0 Preston Lions W
26 Jun
Bentleigh Greens W
1 : 1 Alamein FC W
20 Jun
Essendon Royals W
2 : 0 Alamein FC W
Page 1 of 5
18 Jul
Alamein FC W
1 : 1 South Melbourne W
04 Jul
Alamein FC W
2 : 0 Preston Lions W
06 Jun
Alamein FC W
2 : 1 Melbourne City U20 W
30 May
Alamein FC W
3 : 0 Keilor Park W
09 May
Alamein FC W
2 : 0 Melbourne Victory U20 W
Page 1 of 3
South Melbourne W
(Away) 18 Jul
Alamein FC W
1 : 1 South Melbourne W
11 Jul
South Melbourne W
1 : 0 Spring Hills W
05 Jul
Boroondara Eagles W
1 : 0 South Melbourne W
27 Jun
South Melbourne W
2 : 2 Box Hill W
20 Jun
South Melbourne W
1 : 1 Melbourne Victory U20 W
Page 1 of 5
18 Jul
Alamein FC W
1 : 1 South Melbourne W
05 Jul
Boroondara Eagles W
1 : 0 South Melbourne W
16 May
Essendon Royals W
4 : 1 South Melbourne W
02 May
Keilor Park W
0 : 0 South Melbourne W
18 Apr
Bulleen Lions W
1 : 2 South Melbourne W
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Box Hill W | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 59:24 | 50 |
| 2 | Essendon Royals W | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 63:24 | 47 |
| 3 | Bulleen Lions W | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 53:21 | 46 |
| 4 | Avondale FC W | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 55:22 | 44 |
| 5 | Boroondara Eagles W | 22 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 47:34 | 40 |
| 6 | South Melbourne W | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 43:22 | 39 |
| 7 | Alamein FC W | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 28:24 | 36 |
| 8 | Spring Hills W | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 26:32 | 26 |
| 9 | Melbourne Victory U20 W | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 35:46 | 26 |
| 10 | Heidelberg Utd W | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 32:44 | 23 |
| 11 | Preston Lions W | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:41 | 23 |
| 12 | Keilor Park W | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 22:38 | 23 |
| 13 | Bentleigh Greens W | 22 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 17:74 | 8 |
| 14 | Melbourne City U20 W | 21 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 20:80 | 7 |
Promotion - NPL Victoria Women (Play Offs)
