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Aland United W vs HPS W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Wiklöf Holding Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aland United W play HPS W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aland United W averaged 2.35 goals scored and 2 conceded. HPS W averaged 2.29 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Aland United W won 2, HPS W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Aland United W and 2.00 for HPS W. This points to a HPS W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Aland United W
15%
Draws
47%
HPS W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Aland United W picked up more points recently compared to HPS W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Aland United W Clean Sheet 10%
HPS W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aland United W HPS W
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 15 17
Draws 3 3
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 2.35 2.29
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs HPS W
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Aland United W
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs Aland United W
2:1
Oct 7, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland United W vs HPS W
6:2
Jul 2, 2025 Suomen Cup Women
Aland United W vs HPS W
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aland United W 36 / 100
HPS W 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aland United W HPS W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: HPS W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aland United W attacking → ← attacking HPS W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aland United W scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

HPS W let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Aland United W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

HPS W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 54
3.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1HJK W1090131:927
2KuPS W1081127:1225
3HPS W1062216:820
4Aland United W1051426:1616
5Ilves W1050519:1915
6Gnistan W1030718:289
7PK-35 Vantaa W1020811:286
8VIFK Vaasa W1000105:330