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Alania 2 vs Tuapse

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Danilin K.
17'
Bazaev G.
37'
Zakirov K.

AI Match Summary

Tuapse in this FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tuapse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Alania 2
15%
Draws
85%
Tuapse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tuapse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tuapse lately — more wins on the board than Alania 2.
  • Model gives Tuapse a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Tuapse have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Alania 2 Clean Sheet 15%
Tuapse Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alania 2 Tuapse
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 4 2
Losses 29 17
Goals Scored 0.79 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.61 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Alania 2 vs Tuapse
1:4
Feb 7, 2022 Club Friendly
Alania 2 vs Tuapse
3:4
Aug 15, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Tuapse vs Alania 2
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alania 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Tuapse Compare

Top Goalscorer Danilin K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dzhamalutdinov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alania 2 10 / 100
Tuapse 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alania 2 Tuapse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tuapse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tuapse has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 5.33 goals as a typical output.

Tuapse's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Alania 2 scored in 53% of their last 38 games.

Scoring Trends

Alania 2 VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alania 2

(Home)
16 Nov
KDV Tomsk
6 : 2
Alania 2
09 Nov
Rubin Yalta
3 : 1
Alania 2
26 Oct
Alania 2
0 : 1
Angust Nazran
19 Oct
Maykop
3 : 0
Alania 2
12 Oct
Alania 2
0 : 5
Nart Cherkessk
Page 1 of 8

Tuapse

(Away)
05 Jun
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
5 : 0
Tuapse
30 May
Tuapse
0 : 4
Spartak Nalchik
22 May
Mashuk
1 : 3
Tuapse
16 May
Tuapse
0 : 5
Legion Makhachkala
12 May
Biolog
1 : 0
Tuapse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Makhachkala 32 25 5 2 62:12 80
2 SKA Rostov-on-Don 32 24 4 4 71:22 76
3 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 32 21 7 4 88:24 70
4 Forte Taganrog 32 17 10 5 55:31 61
5 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 32 18 6 8 70:35 60
6 Kuban Kholding 32 15 9 8 46:31 54
7 Legion Makhachkala 32 12 10 10 44:31 46
8 Biolog 32 11 11 10 50:45 44
9 Anzhi 32 13 9 10 46:35 42
10 Spartak Nalchik 32 10 10 12 32:28 40
11 Maykop 32 7 11 14 25:44 32
12 Mashuk 32 7 10 15 47:54 31
13 Dynamo Stavropol 32 7 8 17 40:57 29
14 Tuapse 32 12 2 18 36:60 29
15 R. Volgograd 2 32 5 6 21 26:74 21
16 Alania 2 32 2 6 24 32:97 12
17 Yessentuki 32 2 4 26 16:106 10
Promotion - FNL 2022/2023 (Main)