Sport Picks
Alania Vladikavkaz vs Dynamo Stavropol
Russia
FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 Respublikanskij Stadion Spartak, Vladikavkaz 
Match Events
13'
13'
Kachmazov S.
14'
14'
Sub
Kachmazov S. In: Kuskov A.
Out: Kachmazov S.
19'
19'
Bagaev A.
AI Match Summary
The FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 game between Alania Vladikavkaz and Dynamo Stavropol finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alania Vladikavkaz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Alania Vladikavkaz have managed 1 goals a game lately — Dynamo Stavropol are scoring more at 1.5.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Alania Vladikavkaz have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Alania Vladikavkaz Clean Sheet 14%
Dynamo Stavropol Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alania Vladikavkaz | Dynamo Stavropol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 20, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Dynamo Stavropol vs Alania Vladikavkaz
0:1
Apr 1, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Alania Vladikavkaz vs Dynamo Stavropol
3:1
Apr 11, 2020 FNL 2 - Group 1
Alania Vladikavkaz vs Dynamo Stavropol
0:0
Sep 14, 2019 FNL 2 - Group 1
Dynamo Stavropol vs Alania Vladikavkaz
1:3
Apr 6, 2019 FNL 2 - Group 1
Dynamo Stavropol vs Alania Vladikavkaz
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alania Vladikavkaz Compare
Top Goalscorer Bagaev A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zakirov A. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Dynamo Stavropol Compare
Top Goalscorer Solodarenko V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alania Vladikavkaz 35 / 100
Dynamo Stavropol 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alania Vladikavkaz Dynamo Stavropol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick STA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Alania Vladikavkaz scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Dynamo Stavropol conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Alania Vladikavkaz went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Alania Vladikavkaz VS Dynamo Stavropol
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Alania Vladikavkaz
(Home) 19 Jul
Rodina Moscow 2
2 : 1 Alania Vladikavkaz
14 Jun
Tyumen
2 : 2 Alania Vladikavkaz
06 Jun
Alania Vladikavkaz
1 : 1 Amkar
30 May
Kirov
3 : 2 Alania Vladikavkaz
24 May
Alania Vladikavkaz
1 : 2 D. Bryansk
Page 1 of 6
06 Jun
Alania Vladikavkaz
1 : 1 Amkar
24 May
Alania Vladikavkaz
1 : 2 D. Bryansk
16 May
Alania Vladikavkaz
1 : 1 Dynamo Moscow 2
25 Apr
Alania Vladikavkaz
0 : 2 Kuban
11 Apr
Alania Vladikavkaz
0 : 0 Kirov
Page 1 of 3
Dynamo Stavropol
(Away) 18 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg 2
3 : 0 Dynamo Stavropol
03 Jul
FK Rostov
0 : 0 Dynamo Stavropol
14 Jun
D. Bryansk
2 : 1 Dynamo Stavropol
11 Jun
Dynamo Stavropol
3 : 0 Zenit St Petersburg 2
30 May
Dynamo Stavropol
2 : 1 Dynamo Moscow 2
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg 2
3 : 0 Dynamo Stavropol
03 Jul
FK Rostov
0 : 0 Dynamo Stavropol
14 Jun
D. Bryansk
2 : 1 Dynamo Stavropol
24 May
Dynamo Vladivostok
0 : 2 Dynamo Stavropol
16 May
Kuban
1 : 1 Dynamo Stavropol
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Bryansk | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 23:19 | 36 |
| 2 | Kirov | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 31:16 | 33 |
| 3 | Alania Vladikavkaz | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:22 | 26 |
| 4 | Dynamo Vladivostok | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21:20 | 24 |
| 5 | Amkar | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 30:26 | 24 |
| 6 | Dynamo Moscow 2 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 29:36 | 22 |
| 7 | Zenit St Petersburg 2 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 33:37 | 22 |
| 8 | Tyumen | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 25:25 | 20 |
| 9 | Dynamo Stavropol | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20:26 | 18 |
| 10 | Kuban | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:25 | 18 |
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Fall Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 (Relegation)