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Alania Vladikavkaz vs Saratov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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FNL 2 - Division A Gold Respublikanskij Stadion Spartak, Vladikavkaz
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Matyushenko I.
(Penalty)
36'
Ukomskiy A.
43'
Klementyev I.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division A Gold game between Alania Vladikavkaz and Saratov finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alania Vladikavkaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Alania Vladikavkaz
35%
Draws
13%
Saratov
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alania Vladikavkaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Saratov haven't matched Alania Vladikavkaz's recent run of results.
  • Alania Vladikavkaz are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Alania Vladikavkaz Clean Sheet 19%
Saratov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alania Vladikavkaz Saratov
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.31 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Alania Vladikavkaz vs Saratov
2:0
Aug 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Saratov vs Alania Vladikavkaz
2:1
Mar 22, 2025 FNL
Alania Vladikavkaz vs Saratov
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 FNL
Saratov vs Alania Vladikavkaz
0:1
Mar 10, 2024 FNL
Alania Vladikavkaz vs Saratov
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alania Vladikavkaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramonov Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Saratov Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alania Vladikavkaz 67 / 100
Saratov 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alania Vladikavkaz Saratov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alania Vladikavkaz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Saratov conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Alania Vladikavkaz scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Alania Vladikavkaz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alania Vladikavkaz VS Saratov
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alania Vladikavkaz

(Home)
10 Oct
Kirov
0 : 1
Alania Vladikavkaz
04 Oct
Alania Vladikavkaz
2 : 0
Saratov
27 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
4 : 4
Alania Vladikavkaz
20 Sept
Alania Vladikavkaz
0 : 2
D. Bryansk
12 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 0
Alania Vladikavkaz
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Saratov

(Away)
04 Oct
Alania Vladikavkaz
2 : 0
Saratov
27 Sept
Saratov
0 : 0
Mashuk
21 Sept
Kirov
3 : 1
Saratov
13 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
1 : 1
Saratov
09 Sept
Saratov
1 : 2
Leningradets
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
2 Kirov 13 7 3 3 14:10 24
3 Alania Vladikavkaz 13 4 6 3 17:12 18
4 Sibir Novosibirsk 12 5 3 4 17:14 18
5 D. Bryansk 12 4 4 4 11:15 16
6 Mashuk 13 2 9 2 9:9 15
7 Dynamo Vladivostok 12 3 5 4 8:9 14
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 12 1 9 2 12:13 12
9 Saratov 12 1 6 5 10:19 9
10 Kaluga 13 0 7 6 6:16 7
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)