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Alanya 1221 vs Ayvalikgucu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alanya 1221 host Ayvalikgucu in the 3. Lig Group 2. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Alanya 1221 at 0.89 goals for, 1.29 against; Ayvalikgucu at 1.65 for, 0.81 against. Head-to-head, Alanya 1221 have won 2 to Ayvalikgucu's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.88 - 1.75) back Ayvalikgucu to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Alanya 1221
30%
Draws
47%
Ayvalikgucu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ayvalikgucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ayvalikgucu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Alanya 1221 Clean Sheet 12%
Ayvalikgucu Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alanya 1221 Ayvalikgucu
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 8 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.89 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Ayvalikgucu vs Alanya 1221
0:1
Dec 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Alanya 1221 vs Ayvalikgucu
1:2
Feb 2, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Alanya 1221 vs Ayvalikgucu
0:1
Sep 22, 2024 3. Lig Group 3
Ayvalikgucu vs Alanya 1221
3:2
May 20, 2023 3. Lig Group 2
Ayvalikgucu vs Alanya 1221
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alanya 1221 35 / 100
Ayvalikgucu 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alanya 1221 Ayvalikgucu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayvalikgucu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ayvalikgucu conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Alanya 1221's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Alanya 1221 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alanya 1221 VS Ayvalikgucu
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alanya 1221

(Home)
25 Oct
Alanya 1221
1 : 2
Kepez Bld.
18 Oct
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
1 : 2
Alanya 1221
11 Oct
Alanya 1221
0 : 1
Bursa Yildirimspor
07 Oct
Soma Spor
4 : 2
Alanya 1221
03 Oct
Altay
0 : 0
Alanya 1221
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Ayvalikgucu

(Away)
27 Oct
Sariyer
1 : 0
Ayvalikgucu
24 Oct
Gemlikspor
1 : 1
Ayvalikgucu
18 Oct
Ayvalikgucu
0 : 0
Karsiyaka
11 Oct
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 1
Ayvalikgucu
07 Oct
Soke 1970
1 : 2
Ayvalikgucu
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gemlikspor 8 5 3 0 12:3 18
2 Etimesgut 8 5 2 1 12:4 17
3 Balikesirspor 8 5 1 2 24:15 16
4 Bursa Yildirimspor 8 4 4 0 10:5 16
5 Eskisehirspor 8 4 3 1 23:10 15
6 Eskisehir Anadolu 8 4 3 1 12:5 15
7 Ayvalikgucu 8 4 3 1 12:7 15
8 Bigaspor 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
9 Karsiyaka 8 3 3 2 7:6 12
10 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
11 Altay 8 2 3 3 7:14 9
12 Soke 1970 8 1 4 3 11:12 7
13 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
14 Bucaspor 1928 8 2 0 6 8:14 6
15 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 8 1 3 4 6:14 6
16 Kepez Bld. 8 1 2 5 5:13 5
17 Alanya 1221 8 1 1 6 4:17 4
18 Aksehirspor 8 1 0 7 5:20 3
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)