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Alanyaspor vs Besiktas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Alanya Oba Stadium, Alanya
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Ozcan S. In: Olaitan J.
Out: Ozcan S.
57'
Sub
Oh Hyeon-Gyu In: Vlahovic D.
Out: Oh Hyeon-Gyu
57'
Sub
Yilmaz R. In: Ouattara K.
Out: Yilmaz R.

AI Match Summary

Alanyaspor in this Super Lig matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alanyaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Alanyaspor
15%
Draws
46%
Besiktas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Besiktas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Besiktas have won more games recently than Alanyaspor.
  • Model gives Besiktas a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Alanyaspor Clean Sheet 19%
Besiktas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alanyaspor Besiktas
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.39 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Besiktas
1:0
Apr 23, 2026 Turkish Cup
Besiktas vs Alanyaspor
3:0
Feb 8, 2026 Super Lig
Besiktas vs Alanyaspor
2:2
Aug 31, 2025 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Besiktas
2:0
May 18, 2025 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Besiktas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alanyaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Besiktas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alanyaspor 28 / 100
Besiktas 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alanyaspor Besiktas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besiktas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alanyaspor found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Besiktas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Alanyaspor stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alanyaspor VS Besiktas
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alanyaspor

(Home)
19 Sept
Corum FK
1 : 2
Alanyaspor
12 Sept
Alanyaspor
2 : 2
Goztepe
07 Sept
Rizespor
0 : 1
Alanyaspor
30 Aug
Eyupspor
2 : 1
Alanyaspor
23 Aug
Alanyaspor
1 : 0
Besiktas
Page 1 of 6

Besiktas

(Away)
20 Sept
Amedspor
3 : 2
Besiktas
17 Sept
Besiktas
4 : 1
Marseille
11 Sept
Besiktas
3 : 0
Erzurumspor FK
05 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 2
Besiktas
31 Aug
Besiktas
6 : 2
Corum FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 7 5 1 1 16:11 16
2 Amedspor 7 4 2 1 17:9 14
3 Fenerbahce 7 4 1 2 19:6 13
4 Trabzonspor 7 4 1 2 16:5 13
5 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
6 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
7 Alanyaspor 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
8 Kasimpasa 7 2 4 1 8:8 10
9 Rizespor 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 Genclerbirligi 7 2 2 3 7:15 8
12 Erzurumspor FK 7 2 2 3 3:11 8
13 Corum FK 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
14 Basaksehir 6 2 1 3 10:11 7
15 Konyaspor 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
16 Samsunspor 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
17 Goztepe 6 0 3 3 11:15 3
18 Eyupspor 6 1 0 5 2:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)