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Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Alanya Oba Stadium, Alanya
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Tozlu E.
44'
Ovacikli O.
58'
Sub
Kaya I. In: Elia M.
Out: Kaya I.

AI Match Summary

The Super Lig game between Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor FK finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Alanyaspor
20%
Draws
33%
Erzurumspor FK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alanyaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Erzurumspor FK come out ahead of Alanyaspor on wins alone.
  • Alanyaspor are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Alanyaspor Clean Sheet 68%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alanyaspor Erzurumspor FK
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 18
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.43 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.39 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK
0:0
Aug 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK
0:0
Jul 17, 2025 Club Friendly
Erzurumspor FK vs Alanyaspor
0:2
May 11, 2021 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK
2:3
Jan 21, 2021 Super Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Alanyaspor
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alanyaspor 50 / 100
Erzurumspor FK 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alanyaspor Erzurumspor FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alanyaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alanyaspor scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Alanyaspor stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Erzurumspor FK let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Alanyaspor VS Erzurumspor FK
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alanyaspor

(Home)
19 Sept
Corum FK
1 : 2
Alanyaspor
12 Sept
Alanyaspor
2 : 2
Goztepe
07 Sept
Rizespor
0 : 1
Alanyaspor
30 Aug
Eyupspor
2 : 1
Alanyaspor
23 Aug
Alanyaspor
1 : 0
Besiktas
Page 1 of 6

Erzurumspor FK

(Away)
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0
Samsunspor
11 Sept
Besiktas
3 : 0
Erzurumspor FK
05 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0
Konyaspor
28 Aug
Genclerbirligi
1 : 1
Erzurumspor FK
21 Aug
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 4
Galatasaray
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 7 5 1 1 16:11 16
2 Amedspor 7 4 2 1 17:9 14
3 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
4 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
5 Alanyaspor 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
6 Fenerbahce 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
7 Trabzonspor 6 3 1 2 13:5 10
8 Rizespor 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
9 Kasimpasa 7 2 4 1 8:8 10
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 Genclerbirligi 7 2 2 3 7:15 8
12 Corum FK 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
13 Basaksehir 6 2 1 3 10:11 7
14 Erzurumspor FK 6 2 1 3 3:11 7
15 Konyaspor 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
16 Samsunspor 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
17 Goztepe 6 0 3 3 11:15 3
18 Eyupspor 6 1 0 5 2:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)