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Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Alanya Oba Stadium, Alanya
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alanyaspor host Kocaelispor in the Super Lig. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Kocaelispor have shipped 1.11 goals a game lately, while Alanyaspor have conceded 1.34 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Alanyaspor have won 2 to Kocaelispor's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 18, 2026, ending 5:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.00, favoring Alanyaspor. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Alanyaspor
20%
Draws
48%
Kocaelispor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kocaelispor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Kocaelispor have won more games recently than Alanyaspor.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Super Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Alanyaspor have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Alanyaspor Clean Sheet 20%
Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alanyaspor Kocaelispor
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 12 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.38 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor
5:0
Oct 25, 2025 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Alanyaspor
2:0
Dec 5, 2023 Turkish Cup
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alanyaspor 32 / 100
Kocaelispor 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alanyaspor Kocaelispor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alanyaspor found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Kocaelispor conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Alanyaspor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alanyaspor VS Kocaelispor
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alanyaspor

(Home)
10 Oct
Alanyaspor
0 : 0
Erzurumspor FK
19 Sept
Corum FK
1 : 2
Alanyaspor
12 Sept
Alanyaspor
2 : 2
Goztepe
07 Sept
Rizespor
0 : 1
Alanyaspor
30 Aug
Eyupspor
2 : 1
Alanyaspor
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Kocaelispor

(Away)
19 Sept
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Gaziantep
13 Sept
Galatasaray
1 : 0
Kocaelispor
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
Samsunspor
29 Aug
Konyaspor
1 : 2
Kocaelispor
24 Aug
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Amedspor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 7 5 1 1 16:11 16
2 Amedspor 7 4 2 1 17:9 14
3 Fenerbahce 7 4 1 2 19:6 13
4 Trabzonspor 7 4 1 2 16:5 13
5 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
6 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
7 Alanyaspor 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
8 Kasimpasa 7 2 4 1 8:8 10
9 Rizespor 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 Basaksehir 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
12 Genclerbirligi 7 2 2 3 7:15 8
13 Erzurumspor FK 7 2 2 3 3:11 8
14 Corum FK 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
15 Konyaspor 7 1 2 4 4:8 5
16 Samsunspor 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
17 Goztepe 6 0 3 3 11:15 3
18 Eyupspor 6 1 0 5 2:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)