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Alashkert vs Noah

Armenia Armenia

Premier League 2025/2026 Alashkert Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alashkert play Noah in the Premier League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alashkert averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Noah averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Alashkert won 2, Noah won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.08 for Alashkert and 1.79 for Noah. This points to a Noah double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Alashkert
30%
Draws
36%
Noah
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Noah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Alashkert picked up more points recently compared to Noah.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.08 vs 1.79 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Alashkert Clean Sheet 11%
Noah Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alashkert Noah
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 17
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.41 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.03 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.71 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Alashkert vs Noah
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Noah vs Alashkert
2:2
Aug 31, 2025 Premier League
Alashkert vs Noah
2:0
May 27, 2025 Premier League
Alashkert vs Noah
1:0
Feb 19, 2025 Armenian Cup
Noah vs Alashkert
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alashkert Compare

Top Goalscorer Toure M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Noah Compare

Top Goalscorer Oulad Omar I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alashkert 33 / 100
Noah 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alashkert Noah

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Noah or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alashkert attacking → ← attacking Noah

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alashkert scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Noah let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Alashkert went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Noah lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 60
1.29 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
0.71 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ararat-Armenia27186350:2560
2Noah27168361:1956
3Pyunik Yerevan27174637:1855
4Alashkert27165642:2353
5Urartu27147643:2649
6Van27941427:4031
7BKMA274111230:4223
8FC Gandzasar27561620:4121
9Ararat Yerevan27342021:6313
10Shirak Gyumri27271817:5113