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Alaves B vs Ebro

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Moreno A.
(Penalty)
74' Event
Novials A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Alaves B
20%
Draws
33%
Ebro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Alaves B have won more games recently than Ebro.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Alaves B taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Alaves B Clean Sheet 68%
Ebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves B Ebro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 10 12
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.23 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs Ebro
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Ebro vs Alaves B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alaves B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Novials A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves B 86 / 100
Ebro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves B Ebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebro let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Alaves B scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Alaves B remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alaves B VS Ebro
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves B

(Home)
17 May
Alaves B
0 : 2
Jaen
10 May
Jaen
1 : 2
Alaves B
03 May
Gernika Club
0 : 0
Alaves B
26 Apr
Tudelano
1 : 2
Alaves B
18 Apr
Alaves B
3 : 0
SD Ejea
Page 1 of 6

Ebro

(Away)
03 May
Ebro
0 : 3
UD Logrones
26 Apr
Utebo FC
1 : 0
Ebro
18 Apr
Eibar B
1 : 2
Ebro
11 Apr
Ebro
1 : 0
Beasain
03 Apr
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Ebro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)