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Alaves B vs Mutilvera

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Pinillos Wilson L.
82' Event
Lopez J.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Alaves B and Mutilvera finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alaves B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Alaves B
6%
Draws
4%
Mutilvera
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Alaves B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Alaves B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Alaves B have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Alaves B Clean Sheet 68%
Mutilvera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves B Mutilvera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 10 5
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs Mutilvera
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mutilvera vs Alaves B
1:0
Mar 31, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs Mutilvera
2:0
Nov 18, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mutilvera vs Alaves B
1:3
Jan 22, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs Mutilvera
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alaves B Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinillos Wilson L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Mutilvera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves B 95 / 100
Mutilvera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves B Mutilvera

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mutilvera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Alaves B's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Alaves B has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alaves B VS Mutilvera
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025