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Alaves B vs Mutilvera

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Pinillos Wilson L.
82' Event
Lopez J.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Alaves B and Mutilvera finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alaves B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Alaves B
20%
Draws
36%
Mutilvera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Alaves B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Alaves B have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Alaves B Clean Sheet 68%
Mutilvera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves B Mutilvera
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1.21 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs Mutilvera
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mutilvera vs Alaves B
1:0
Mar 31, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs Mutilvera
2:0
Nov 18, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mutilvera vs Alaves B
1:3
Jan 22, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs Mutilvera
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alaves B Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinillos Wilson L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Mutilvera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves B 41 / 100
Mutilvera 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves B Mutilvera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaves B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alaves B's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Mutilvera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Alaves B has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alaves B VS Mutilvera
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves B

(Home)
13 Sept
Llanera
1 : 2
Alaves B
05 Sept
Alaves B
0 : 2
Coruxo FC
22 Aug
Alaves B
1 : 2
Amorebieta
21 Aug
Naxara
0 : 1
Alaves B
17 May
Alaves B
0 : 2
Jaen
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Mutilvera

(Away)
12 Sept
Mutilvera
1 : 0
Gazte Berriak
05 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
03 May
Mutilvera
0 : 2
Amorebieta
26 Apr
UD Logrones
3 : 0
Mutilvera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)