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Alaves B vs Rayo Cantabria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alaves B host Rayo Cantabria in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Alaves B at 1.43 goals for, 0.71 against; Rayo Cantabria at 2.11 for, 1.71 against. Past meetings favor Alaves B slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 30, 2025, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.06) back Alaves B to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Alaves B
15%
Draws
7%
Rayo Cantabria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Alaves B have won more games recently than Rayo Cantabria.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Alaves B taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Alaves B Clean Sheet 20%
Rayo Cantabria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves B Rayo Cantabria
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.43 2.11
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Alaves B vs Rayo Cantabria
2:1
Apr 8, 2006 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs Rayo Cantabria
2:1
Nov 12, 2005 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Rayo Cantabria vs Alaves B
2:2
Mar 13, 2004 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Rayo Cantabria vs Alaves B
2:2
Oct 25, 2003 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Alaves B vs Rayo Cantabria
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves B 85 / 100
Rayo Cantabria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves B Rayo Cantabria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaves B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayo Cantabria has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Alaves B scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Alaves B has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alaves B VS Rayo Cantabria
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves B

(Home)
03 Oct
Portugalete
0 : 2
Alaves B
27 Sept
Arosa SC
2 : 5
Alaves B
20 Sept
Alaves B
3 : 1
Real Oviedo B
13 Sept
Llanera
1 : 2
Alaves B
05 Sept
Alaves B
0 : 2
Coruxo FC
Page 1 of 6

Rayo Cantabria

(Away)
03 Oct
Rayo Cantabria
1 : 5
Eibar B
27 Sept
Llanera
2 : 1
Rayo Cantabria
20 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 2
Amorebieta
13 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1
Rayo Cantabria
06 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 1
Sestao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Eibar B 6 4 1 1 11:4 13
3 Sestao 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
4 Alaves B 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
5 Portugalete 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
6 Ourense CF 6 3 1 2 5:7 10
7 Basconia 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
8 Gernika Club 5 2 2 1 12:5 8
9 Amorebieta 6 2 1 3 6:6 7
10 Real Oviedo B 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
11 Llanera 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
12 Atletico Astorga 6 2 0 4 9:7 6
13 Marino De Luanco 6 2 0 4 8:12 6
14 Coruxo FC 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
15 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
16 Compostela 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
17 Arosa SC 5 0 3 2 6:13 3
18 Rayo Cantabria 5 0 1 4 3:11 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)