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Alaves B vs Real Oviedo B

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Sanchez M.
26' Event
Pinillos Wilson L.
36' Event
Pinillos Wilson L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 game between Alaves B and Real Oviedo B finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alaves B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Alaves B
15%
Draws
42%
Real Oviedo B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Alaves B have managed 1.28 goals a game lately — Real Oviedo B are scoring more at 1.59.
  • Win probability leans Real Oviedo B's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Alaves B Clean Sheet 14%
Real Oviedo B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves B Real Oviedo B
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 16 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.28 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Alaves B vs Real Oviedo B
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alaves B Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinillos Wilson L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferullo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Real Oviedo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves B 27 / 100
Real Oviedo B 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves B Real Oviedo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Oviedo B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Alaves B scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Real Oviedo B let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Alaves B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alaves B VS Real Oviedo B
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves B

(Home)
20 Sept
Alaves B
3 : 1
Real Oviedo B
13 Sept
Llanera
1 : 2
Alaves B
05 Sept
Alaves B
0 : 2
Coruxo FC
22 Aug
Alaves B
1 : 2
Amorebieta
21 Aug
Naxara
0 : 1
Alaves B
Page 1 of 6

Real Oviedo B

(Away)
20 Sept
Alaves B
3 : 1
Real Oviedo B
13 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Real Oviedo B
05 Sept
Real Oviedo B
2 : 1
Eibar B
29 Aug
CD Mosconia
1 : 4
Real Oviedo B
28 Aug
Universidad Oviedo
0 : 6
Real Oviedo B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 Alaves B 4 3 0 1 10:6 9
3 Sestao 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
4 Eibar B 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
5 Ourense CF 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
6 Gernika Club 4 2 2 0 11:3 8
7 Basconia 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
8 Portugalete 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
9 Coruxo FC 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
10 Amorebieta 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
11 Compostela 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
12 Real Oviedo B 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
13 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
14 Atletico Astorga 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
15 Marino De Luanco 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
16 Llanera 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
17 Arosa SC 4 0 2 2 6:13 2
18 Rayo Cantabria 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)