Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026

Utebo FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alaves B play Utebo FC in the Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alaves B averaged 1.23 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. Utebo FC averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Alaves B won 3, Utebo FC won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 8, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Alaves B and 0.94 for Utebo FC. This points to a Alaves B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Alaves B

31%

Draws

27%

Utebo FC

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Alaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Alaves B picked up more points recently compared to Utebo FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Alaves B Clean Sheet 24%

Utebo FC Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alaves B	Utebo FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	12
Draws	10	6
Losses	5	12
Goals Scored	1.23	1.4
Goals Conceded	0.67	1.4
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Alaves B vs Utebo FC

Possession: 47% - 48% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Dec 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Utebo FC vs Alaves B

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Mar 2, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Utebo FC vs Alaves B

Possession: 60% - 51% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Oct 20, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Alaves B vs Utebo FC

Possession: 40% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Mar 16, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Utebo FC vs Alaves B

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alaves B Compare

Top Goalscorer Aragues C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Manas A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Utebo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivera D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves B 43 / 100

Utebo FC 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alaves B Utebo FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alaves B or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alaves B attacking → ← attacking Utebo FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alaves B scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Utebo FC let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Alaves B went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Utebo FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 42

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Real Union	34	20	9	5	64:35	69
2	Alaves B	34	17	11	6	41:20	62
3	UD Logrones	34	18	7	9	73:33	61
4	Utebo FC	34	17	7	10	56:42	58
5	Tudelano	34	16	9	9	56:40	57
6	Amorebieta	34	13	11	10	38:32	50
7	Sestao	34	12	14	8	40:33	50
8	Ebro	34	11	16	7	42:36	49
9	Eibar B	34	14	7	13	41:42	49
10	Basconia	34	11	14	9	55:43	47
11	Gernika Club	34	12	9	13	34:40	45
12	Naxara	34	11	8	15	39:48	41
13	SD Logrones	34	8	13	13	22:40	37
14	Beasain	34	8	12	14	38:46	36
15	SD Ejea	34	8	11	15	35:55	35
16	Mutilvera	34	8	6	20	31:65	30
17	Zaragoza B	34	7	7	20	32:59	28
18	Alfaro	34	6	7	21	32:60	25