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Alaves C vs San Ignacio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4
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Match Events

20' Event
26' Event
74' Event

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 game between Alaves C and San Ignacio finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alaves C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Alaves C
20%
Draws
42%
San Ignacio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Ignacio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • San Ignacio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Alaves C are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Alaves C here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Alaves C Clean Sheet 68%
San Ignacio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves C San Ignacio
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.1 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs San Ignacio
3:0
May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Alaves C
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs San Ignacio
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs San Ignacio
2:0
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Alaves C
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves C 50 / 100
San Ignacio 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves C San Ignacio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaves C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alaves C scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Alaves C has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: San Ignacio conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Alaves C VS San Ignacio
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves C

(Home)
31 Oct
Alaves C
3 : 0
San Ignacio
25 Oct
Real Sociedad C
2 : 2
Alaves C
17 Oct
Alaves C
2 : 2
Leioa
10 Oct
SD Erandio
0 : 2
Alaves C
04 Oct
Alaves C
5 : 1
Sodupe
Page 1 of 6

San Ignacio

(Away)
31 Oct
Alaves C
3 : 0
San Ignacio
24 Oct
San Ignacio
5 : 0
Aurrera de Vitoria
18 Oct
Amurrio Club
0 : 1
San Ignacio
10 Oct
San Ignacio
2 : 1
Eibar C
04 Oct
Real Union B
0 : 3
San Ignacio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leioa 9 5 4 0 24:10 19
2 Aurrera de Vitoria 9 6 1 2 14:14 19
3 Derio 9 5 3 1 13:8 18
4 UD Aretxabaleta 9 5 2 2 12:8 17
5 Alaves C 9 4 3 2 20:10 15
6 Real Sociedad C 9 4 3 2 16:12 15
7 Touring KE 9 4 3 2 10:6 15
8 San Ignacio 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
9 SCD Durango 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
10 Eibar C 8 3 2 3 13:11 11
11 Beasain 8 3 2 3 12:10 11
12 Sodupe 9 3 2 4 6:15 11
13 Pasaia 9 3 1 5 12:19 10
14 Santurtzi 9 3 0 6 7:12 9
15 Lagun Onak 9 2 2 5 8:13 8
16 SD Erandio 9 2 0 7 8:13 6
17 Real Union B 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
18 Amurrio Club 9 0 1 8 3:18 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)