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Stadium Background

Alaves C vs Zamudio

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Saenz I.
24' Event
Uria I.
25' Event
Uria I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Alaves C and Zamudio finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alaves C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Alaves C
20%
Draws
29%
Zamudio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alaves C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Alaves C carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Alaves C are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Alaves C Clean Sheet 68%
Zamudio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves C Zamudio
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 2.03 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs Zamudio
5:0
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zamudio vs Alaves C
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alaves C Compare

Top Goalscorer Uria I.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Saenz I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.18

Zamudio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.44
Avg xA / game 0.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves C 95 / 100
Zamudio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves C Zamudio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaves C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alaves C's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Zamudio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Alaves C went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alaves C VS Zamudio
2.38 Goals Scored 1.67
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves C

(Home)
04 Oct
Alaves C
5 : 1
Sodupe
26 Sept
Alaves C
1 : 2
Touring KE
19 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
Alaves C
12 Sept
Alaves C
3 : 0
Amurrio Club
05 Sept
Eibar C
1 : 1
Alaves C
Page 1 of 7

Zamudio

(Away)
09 May
UD Aretxabaleta
3 : 1
Zamudio
03 May
Zamudio
0 : 2
Zarautz KE
26 Apr
Zamudio
1 : 1
Santurtzi
16 Apr
Real Sociedad C
3 : 1
Zamudio
12 Apr
Zamudio
7 : 0
Pasaia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)