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Alaves vs Dep. A Coruna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alaves host Dep. A Coruna in the LaLiga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Dep. A Coruna have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Alaves have conceded 1.54 and scored 1.54. Head-to-head, Alaves have won 3 to Dep. A Coruna's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 6, 2021, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.38) point toward Dep. A Coruna. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Alaves
30%
Draws
54%
Dep. A Coruna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dep. A Coruna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dep. A Coruna come out ahead of Alaves on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Dep. A Coruna's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Alaves Clean Sheet 17%
Dep. A Coruna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves Dep. A Coruna
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.54 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2021 Copa del Rey
Dep. A Coruna vs Alaves
0:1
Feb 17, 2018 LaLiga
Alaves vs Dep. A Coruna
1:0
Sep 20, 2017 LaLiga
Dep. A Coruna vs Alaves
1:0
Feb 18, 2017 LaLiga
Dep. A Coruna vs Alaves
0:1
Jan 11, 2017 Copa del Rey
Alaves vs Dep. A Coruna
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves 12 / 100
Dep. A Coruna 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves Dep. A Coruna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. A Coruna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alaves's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Dep. A Coruna conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Alaves remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alaves VS Dep. A Coruna
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves

(Home)
31 Oct
Barcelona
6 : 1
Alaves
23 Oct
Alaves
1 : 1
Malaga
18 Oct
Celta Vigo
2 : 1
Alaves
10 Oct
Alaves
1 : 2
Atl. Madrid
19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0
Alaves
Page 1 of 6

Dep. A Coruna

(Away)
02 Nov
Dep. A Coruna
2 : 1
Osasuna
29 Oct
Auriense
0 : 3
Dep. A Coruna
24 Oct
Atl. Madrid
1 : 0
Dep. A Coruna
16 Oct
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 1
Levante
11 Oct
Real Sociedad
3 : 2
Dep. A Coruna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 11 10 0 1 46:12 30
2 Atl. Madrid 11 9 1 1 22:8 28
3 Real Madrid 11 9 0 2 28:10 27
4 Betis 11 7 2 2 18:15 23
5 Real Sociedad 11 6 1 4 20:20 19
6 Sevilla 11 5 2 4 17:19 17
7 Ath Bilbao 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
8 Dep. A Coruna 11 3 5 3 15:14 14
9 Villarreal 11 3 3 5 15:15 12
10 Celta Vigo 11 2 6 3 10:10 12
11 Alaves 11 3 3 5 15:17 12
12 Rayo Vallecano 10 3 3 4 15:20 12
13 Getafe 11 3 3 5 8:16 12
14 Espanyol 11 3 2 6 13:14 11
15 Osasuna 11 3 2 6 11:22 11
16 Racing Santander 11 3 2 6 15:29 11
17 Elche 11 2 4 5 14:18 10
18 Levante 11 2 4 5 16:21 10
19 Valencia 11 2 3 6 8:17 9
20 Malaga 11 0 5 6 8:21 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)