Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Alaves host Malaga in the LaLiga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Alaves at 1.55 goals for, 1.45 against; Malaga at 1.59 for, 1.41 against. Head-to-head, Alaves have won 4 to Malaga's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 20, 2023, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 0.76) point toward Alaves. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Alaves carry the better recent record into this one.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Alaves taking it.
- Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Alaves have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alaves | Malaga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 13 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alaves found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Malaga conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Alaves remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Alaves
(Home)Malaga
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:8 | 18 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:15 | 13 |
| 7 | Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Dep. A Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 8 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | 8 |
| 15 | Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:23 | 8 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 17 | Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 18 | Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:17 | 6 |
| 19 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:15 | 5 |
| 20 | Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
