Sport Picks

Spain

Copa del Rey Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz

Alaves

2 - 0

Rayo Vallecano

Our Tip

Match Events

Calebe

35'

Perez F.

36'

Protesoni C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Alaves advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Alaves

33%

Draws

27%

Rayo Vallecano

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Alaves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Rayo Vallecano come out ahead of Alaves on wins alone.
40% — that's where the model lands on Alaves taking it.
Rayo Vallecano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Rayo Vallecano, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 5 times recently and Rayo Vallecano have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Alaves Clean Sheet 68%

Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alaves	Rayo Vallecano
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	10	13
Draws	8	7
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.25	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 LaLiga

Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano

1:2

Jan 14, 2026 Copa del Rey

Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano

2:0

Oct 26, 2025 LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves

1:0

Mar 29, 2025 LaLiga

Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano

0:2

Oct 26, 2024 LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alaves Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Vicente C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Rayo Vallecano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves 50 / 100

Rayo Vallecano 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alaves Rayo Vallecano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alaves scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Rayo Vallecano conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Alaves has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alaves VS Rayo Vallecano

1.25 Goals Scored 1.63

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves

(Home)

25 Jul

Girona

0 : 1

Alaves

18 Jul

Alaves

1 : 1

Eibar

23 May

Alaves

1 : 2

Rayo Vallecano

17 May

Real Oviedo

0 : 1

Alaves

13 May

Alaves

1 : 0

Barcelona

Page 1 of 6

Rayo Vallecano

(Away)

26 Jul

Feyenoord

2 : 1

Rayo Vallecano

17 Jul

Hearts

2 : 1

Rayo Vallecano

27 May

Crystal Palace

1 : 0

Rayo Vallecano

23 May

Alaves

1 : 2

Rayo Vallecano

17 May

Rayo Vallecano

2 : 0

Villarreal

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Mutilvera-

TBD-

Zaragoza-

Atletico Tordesillas-

TBD-

Burgos CF-

Navalcarnero-

TBD-

AD Merida-

Inter de Valdemoro4

Univ. Julio Suarez2

TBD-

Getafe-

Atletico Astorga-

TBD-

Mirandes-

Caudal Deportivo-

TBD-

Gijon-

Puente Genil-

TBD-

FC Cartagena SAD-

Sporting Ceuta1

Maracena3

TBD-

Valencia-

CD Tropezon-

TBD-

Leonesa-

Valle Egues-

TBD-

FC Andorra-

Ciudad Cieza-

TBD-

Cordoba-

Orihuela-

TBD-

Levante-

Ourense CF-

TBD-

Real Oviedo-

Constancia-

TBD-

Girona-

TBD-

Ath Bilbao-

Portugalete-

TBD-

Valladolid-

Deportivo Getxo2

Betis Valladolid1

TBD-

Alaves-

CD Extremadura-

TBD-

Las Palmas-

Toledo-

TBD-

Sevilla-

RSD Alcala-

TBD-

Tenerife-

Roda-

TBD-

Granada CF-

Real Avila-

TBD-

Real Aviles-

Campanario0

CD Yuncos2

TBD-

Rayo Vallecano-

Jaen-

TBD-

Eldense-

Lorca Deportiva-

TBD-

Almeria-

Reus FC Reddis-

TBD-

CE Europa-

Textil Escudo2

SD Negreira5

TBD-

Real Sociedad-

Langreo-

TBD-

Racing Club Ferrol-

Utebo FC-

TBD-

Huesca-

Ebro-

TBD-

Tarazona-

CD Sant Jordi4

CD Lourdes1

TBD-

Osasuna-

CD Azuaga-

TBD-

Leganes-

UD San Fernando-

TBD-

Albacete-

Sant Andreu-

TBD-

Teruel-

Puerto de Vega5

CCD Alberite1

TBD-

Celta Vigo-

Rayo Majadahonda-

TBD-

CF Talavera-

CD Estepona-

TBD-

Malaga-

TBD-

Real Madrid-

UD Logrones-

TBD-

Ponferradina-

SD Logrones-

TBD-

Racing Santander-

Antoniano-

TBD-

Castellon-

Ciudad de Lucena-

TBD-

Villarreal-

Guadalajara-

TBD-

Cacereno-

La Union (Malacitano)-

TBD-

AD Ceuta-

TBD-

Barcelona-

Murcia-

TBD-

Antequera-

UCAM Murcia-

TBD-

Cadiz-

Torrent-

TBD-

Torremolinos-

Atletico Melilla0

Atletico Palma del Rio10

TBD-

Betis-

UD Ourense-

TBD-

Pontevedra-

Naxara-

TBD-

Eibar-

Quintanar del Rey-

TBD-

UD Ibiza-

Manises2

UD Los Garres4

TBD-

Elche-

UD Poblense-

TBD-

Sabadell-

UD Samano-

TBD-

Dep. A Coruna-

Numancia-

TBD-

Arenas Getxo-

Atletic Sant Just FC7

Atletico Calatayud1

TBD-

Mallorca-

Baleares-

TBD-

Gimnastic de Tarragona-

CE Atletic Lleida-

TBD-

Espanyol-

TBD-

Atl. Madrid-

1/64-finals

Mutilvera1

Zaragoza3

Atletico Tordesillas1

Burgos CF2

Navalcarnero2

AD Merida1

Inter de Valdemoro0

Getafe11

Atletico Astorga1

Mirandes2

Caudal Deportivo0

Gijon1

Puente Genil0

FC Cartagena SAD1

Maracena0

Valencia5

CD Tropezon1

Leonesa3

Valle Egues1

FC Andorra5

Ciudad Cieza1

Cordoba0

Orihuela3

Levante4

Ourense CF4

Real Oviedo2

Constancia2

Girona3

TBD-

Ath Bilbao-

Portugalete1

Valladolid0

Deportivo Getxo0

Alaves7

CD Extremadura3

Las Palmas1

Toledo1

Sevilla4

RSD Alcala0

Tenerife4

Roda1

Granada CF5

Real Avila1

Real Aviles0

CD Yuncos1

Rayo Vallecano6

Jaen1

Eldense3

Lorca Deportiva0

Almeria2

Reus FC Reddis3

CE Europa2

SD Negreira0

Real Sociedad3

Langreo0

Racing Club Ferrol1

Utebo FC0

Huesca3

Ebro2

Tarazona1

CD Sant Jordi0

Osasuna5

CD Azuaga1

Leganes4

UD San Fernando0

Albacete3

Sant Andreu2

Teruel1

Puerto de Vega0

Celta Vigo2

Rayo Majadahonda1

CF Talavera4

CD Estepona1

Malaga3

TBD-

Real Madrid-

UD Logrones1

Ponferradina3

SD Logrones0

Racing Santander4

Antoniano1

Castellon0

Ciudad de Lucena0

Villarreal6

Guadalajara2

Cacereno1

La Union (Malacitano)0

AD Ceuta2

TBD-

Barcelona-

Murcia2

Antequera1

UCAM Murcia1

Cadiz3

Torrent3

Torremolinos1

Atletico Palma del Rio1

Betis7

UD Ourense1

Pontevedra2

Naxara2

Eibar4

Quintanar del Rey2

UD Ibiza1

UD Los Garres0

Elche4

UD Poblense1

Sabadell2

UD Samano1

Dep. A Coruna5

Numancia3

Arenas Getxo0

Atletic Sant Just FC0

Mallorca2

Baleares2

Gimnastic de Tarragona0

CE Atletic Lleida1

Espanyol2

TBD-

Atl. Madrid-

1/32-finals

Zaragoza0

Burgos CF1

Navalcarnero2

Getafe3

Mirandes0

Gijon2

FC Cartagena SAD1

Valencia2

Leonesa4

FC Andorra2

Ciudad Cieza0

Levante1

Ourense CF2

Girona1

TBD-

Ath Bilbao-

Portugalete0

Alaves3

CD Extremadura1

Sevilla2

Tenerife0

Granada CF1

Real Avila1

Rayo Vallecano2

Eldense2

Almeria1

Reus FC Reddis0

Real Sociedad2

Racing Club Ferrol0

Huesca2

Ebro3

Osasuna5

Leganes1

Albacete2

Sant Andreu1

Celta Vigo2

CF Talavera2

Malaga1

TBD-

Real Madrid-

Ponferradina1

Racing Santander2

Antoniano1

Villarreal2

Guadalajara1

AD Ceuta0

TBD-

Barcelona-

Murcia3

Cadiz2

Torrent1

Betis4

Pontevedra0

Eibar3

Quintanar del Rey1

Elche2

Sabadell0

Dep. A Coruna2

Numancia2

Mallorca3

Baleares1

Espanyol0

TBD-

Atl. Madrid-

1/16-finals

Burgos CF3

Getafe1

Gijon0

Valencia2

Leonesa1

Levante0

Ourense CF0

Ath Bilbao1

Alaves1

Sevilla0

Granada CF1

Rayo Vallecano3

Eldense1

Real Sociedad2

Huesca2

Osasuna4

Albacete3

Celta Vigo2

CF Talavera2

Real Madrid3

Racing Santander2

Villarreal1

Guadalajara0

Barcelona2

Murcia0

Betis2

Eibar0

Elche1

Dep. A Coruna1

Mallorca0

Baleares2

Atl. Madrid3

1/8-finals

Burgos CF0

Valencia2

Leonesa3

Ath Bilbao4

Alaves2

Rayo Vallecano0

Real Sociedad3

Osasuna2

Albacete3

Real Madrid2

Racing Santander0

Barcelona2

Betis2

Elche1

Dep. A Coruna0

Atl. Madrid1

Quarter-finals

Albacete1

Barcelona2

Betis0

Atl. Madrid5

Valencia1

Ath Bilbao2

Alaves2

Real Sociedad3

Semi-finals

Barcelona3

Atl. Madrid4

Ath Bilbao0

Real Sociedad2

Final

Atl. Madrid2

Real Sociedad3

Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano

Spain

Alaves

Rayo Vallecano

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Alaves Compare

Rayo Vallecano Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves

Rayo Vallecano

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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