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Alaves W vs Granada CF W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Liga F Women Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Merida T.
44'
Perea P.
45' Event
Guallar A.
Assist: Parera L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga F Women game between Alaves W and Granada CF W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alaves W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Alaves W
15%
Draws
59%
Granada CF W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Granada CF W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alaves W come out ahead of Granada CF W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga F Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Alaves W Clean Sheet 15%
Granada CF W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves W Granada CF W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.37 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga F Women
Alaves W vs Granada CF W
1:0
Jan 10, 2023 Copa de la Reina Women
Granada CF W vs Alaves W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alaves W Compare

Top Goalscorer Guallar A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Granada CF W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves W 31 / 100
Granada CF W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves W Granada CF W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Granada CF W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alaves W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Granada CF W let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Alaves W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alaves W VS Granada CF W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves W

(Home)
03 Oct
Espanyol W
1 : 0
Alaves W
26 Sept
Madrid CFF W
1 : 0
Alaves W
18 Sept
Alaves W
0 : 6
Barcelona W
13 Sept
Alaves W
1 : 0
Granada CF W
06 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0
Alaves W
Page 1 of 6

Granada CF W

(Away)
04 Oct
Granada CF W
0 : 0
Eibar W
26 Sept
Badalona W
0 : 1
Granada CF W
20 Sept
Granada CF W
0 : 3
Dep. A Coruna W
13 Sept
Alaves W
1 : 0
Granada CF W
07 Sept
Granada CF W
3 : 2
Real Sociedad W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 6 6 0 0 28:2 18
2 Madrid CFF W 6 4 1 1 11:9 13
3 Real Madrid W 6 4 1 1 13:13 13
4 Athletic Bilbao W 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 Eibar W 6 3 2 1 4:4 11
6 Atl. Madrid W 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Espanyol W 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
8 Badalona W 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
9 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 6 2 2 2 6:11 8
10 Sevilla W 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Granada CF W 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
12 Logrono W 6 2 0 4 5:7 6
13 Alaves W 6 2 0 4 3:9 6
14 Dep. A Coruna W 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
15 Real Sociedad W 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
16 Valencia W 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women 2027/2028 (Main)