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Alaves W vs Real Oviedo W

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 Estadio Mendizorrotza
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Lombardero N.
Own Goal
47' Event
Sanadri
90' Event
Fernandez C.

AI Match Summary

Alaves W play Real Oviedo W in the Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026. Alaves W are favorites here. Recently, Alaves W averaged 1.88 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Real Oviedo W averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Alaves W won 4, Real Oviedo W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Alaves W and 0.63 for Real Oviedo W. This points to a Alaves W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Alaves W
6%
Draws
4%
Real Oviedo W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alaves W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Alaves W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Real Oviedo W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Alaves W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Alaves W Clean Sheet 68%
Real Oviedo W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves W Real Oviedo W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Alaves W vs Real Oviedo W
3:0
Nov 9, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Real Oviedo W vs Alaves W
0:1
Aug 10, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Real Oviedo W vs Alaves W
0:3
Nov 23, 2022 Copa de la Reina Women
Real Oviedo W vs Alaves W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alaves W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanadri
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Real Oviedo W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves W 95 / 100
Real Oviedo W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves W Real Oviedo W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alaves W scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Real Oviedo W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Alaves W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Real Oviedo W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alaves W VS Real Oviedo W
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona B W26184467:2658
2Alaves W26175444:1556
3Valencia W261210435:1846
4Real Madrid B W26125935:2741
5Tenerife B W26116934:3639
6Villarreal W26108835:3138
7CA Osasuna W26961130:2633
8Albacete W2689925:3333
9Cacereno W26871122:3331
10Atl. Madrid B W26871126:3231
11SE AEM W26861226:3630
12CE Europa W26651529:4723
13Betis W26581324:4823
14Real Oviedo W26461618:4218