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Alaves W vs Valencia W Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Liga F Women Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Brima K. Z.
57'
Sub
Gomez Martinez E. In: Tamarit S.
Out: Gomez Martinez E.
57'
Sub
Mascarell M. In: Elloh R.
Out: Mascarell M.

AI Match Summary

Alaves W in this Liga F Women matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alaves W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Alaves W
15%
Draws
0%
Valencia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alaves W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Alaves W have won more games recently than Valencia W.
  • Model gives Alaves W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Alaves W Clean Sheet 68%
Valencia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves W Valencia W
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 12
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.34 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga F Women
Alaves W vs Valencia W
2:0
Apr 25, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Alaves W vs Valencia W
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Valencia W vs Alaves W
1:1
Apr 29, 2023 Liga F Women
Valencia W vs Alaves W
2:1
Jan 7, 2023 Liga F Women
Alaves W vs Valencia W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alaves W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brima K. Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guallar A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Valencia W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves W 50 / 100
Valencia W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves W Valencia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaves W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Valencia W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Alaves W found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Valencia W has conceded goals in 66% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Alaves W VS Valencia W
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves W

(Home)
03 Oct
Espanyol W
1 : 0
Alaves W
26 Sept
Madrid CFF W
1 : 0
Alaves W
18 Sept
Alaves W
0 : 6
Barcelona W
13 Sept
Alaves W
1 : 0
Granada CF W
06 Sept
Atl. Madrid W
1 : 0
Alaves W
Page 1 of 7

Valencia W

(Away)
27 Sept
Valencia W
1 : 2
Costa Adeje Tenerife W
19 Sept
Real Madrid W
3 : 1
Valencia W
13 Sept
Logrono W
2 : 1
Valencia W
05 Sept
Valencia W
1 : 3
Madrid CFF W
30 Aug
Alaves W
2 : 0
Valencia W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 5 5 0 0 21:2 15
2 Real Madrid W 5 4 1 0 13:6 13
3 Madrid CFF W 6 4 1 1 11:9 13
4 Athletic Bilbao W 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 Eibar W 5 3 1 1 4:4 10
6 Atl. Madrid W 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Espanyol W 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
8 Badalona W 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
9 Sevilla W 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
10 Logrono W 5 2 0 3 4:5 6
11 Granada CF W 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
12 Alaves W 6 2 0 4 3:9 6
13 Dep. A Coruna W 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
14 Costa Adeje Tenerife W 5 1 2 2 4:10 5
15 Real Sociedad W 5 0 2 3 6:11 2
16 Valencia W 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
Relegation - Primera Federacion Women 2027/2028 (Main)