Sport Picks

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Alba vs Vado

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
1 - 0
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Yanken S.

AI Match Summary

Alba in this Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Alba
20%
Draws
10%
Vado
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vado lately — more wins on the board than Alba.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Alba taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Alba Clean Sheet 68%
Vado Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alba Vado
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 8 24
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.98
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Alba vs Vado
1:0
Oct 8, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Alba
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alba Compare

Top Goalscorer Yanken S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Vado Compare

Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alba 77 / 100
Vado 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alba Vado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alba's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Alba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Vado registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vado
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alba

(Home)
12 May
Derthona FbC
3 : 0
Alba
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Alba
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Alba
14 Apr
Alba
3 : 3
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 6

Vado

(Away)
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Vado
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
06 Sept
Reggiana
3 : 1
Vado
02 Sept
Spezia
3 : 0
Vado
28 Aug
Pianese
0 : 0
Vado
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)