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Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2015/2016

San Jose Obrero

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This Tercera Division - Group 18 2015/2016 encounter between Albacete B and San Jose Obrero promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Albacete B averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.5 conceded in recent matches. San Jose Obrero shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Albacete B, 0 wins for San Jose Obrero, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 17.04.16 ended in a 1:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.48 for Albacete B and 0.69 for San Jose Obrero, suggesting the primary value lies in the Albacete B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Albacete B

27%

Draws

21%

San Jose Obrero

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Albacete B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

Albacete B picked up more points recently compared to San Jose Obrero.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 0.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Albacete B Clean Sheet 28%

San Jose Obrero Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Albacete B	San Jose Obrero
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	16	6
Draws	11	6
Losses	5	18
Goals Scored	1.41	0.8
Goals Conceded	0.5	1.77

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

17.04.16 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Albacete B vs San Jose Obrero

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 1 - 4

1:1

29.11.15 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

San Jose Obrero vs Albacete B

Possession: 41% - 55% Cards: 1 - 4

2:2

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Albacete B

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)

Attacking Style Keep the ball

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Sit deep

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

San Jose Obrero

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albacete B 52 / 100

San Jose Obrero 21 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Albacete B San Jose Obrero

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Albacete B or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18%

2.27

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Albacete B is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Albacete B 57%

San Jose Obrero 17%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

San Jose Obrero will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Albacete B's attacks.

Albacete B 49%

San Jose Obrero 22%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Albacete B to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Albacete B 52%

San Jose Obrero 21%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Albacete B vary their attacking width.

Albacete B 55%

San Jose Obrero 20%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for San Jose Obrero, allowing Albacete B's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Albacete B 47%

San Jose Obrero 23%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect a final offensive push from Albacete B, while San Jose Obrero takes risks to salvage a result.

Albacete B 60%

San Jose Obrero 24%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Albacete B attacking → ← attacking San Jose Obrero

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albacete B have found the net in 72% of their last 32 matches.

San Jose Obrero have conceded at least one goal in 80% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.

Albacete B remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

San Jose Obrero suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 24

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Conquense	38	24	4	10	54:26	76
2	Almagro	38	22	10	6	64:33	76
3	Azuqueca	38	20	10	8	58:31	70
4	UD Almansa	38	17	15	6	54:35	66
5	Quintanar del Rey	38	17	11	10	38:29	62
6	Madridejos	38	16	12	10	47:45	60
7	Illescas	38	16	10	12	50:47	58
8	Villarrobledo	38	15	9	14	44:38	54
9	Marchamalo	38	14	10	14	51:53	52
10	Manchego Ciudad Real	38	14	9	15	41:36	51
11	Toledo 2	38	14	9	15	50:48	51
12	Villarrubia	38	12	12	14	34:34	48
13	CD Pedroneras	38	12	12	14	36:42	48
14	Albacete B	38	10	16	12	47:51	46
15	Mora CF	38	13	7	18	43:48	46
16	Manzanares	38	11	12	15	39:43	45
17	Atletico Ibanes	38	9	15	14	29:42	42
18	La Gineta	38	8	8	22	41:61	32
19	San Jose Obrero	38	7	10	21	37:70	31
20	Munera CF	38	5	7	26	28:73	22