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Albacete W vs Atl. Madrid B W

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Lopez A.
71' Event
Ortega N.

AI Match Summary

Albacete W host Atl. Madrid B W in the Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026. Little to choose between these two on current form. Atl. Madrid B W have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Albacete W have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Albacete W slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 0.94) point toward Albacete W. Albacete W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Albacete W
17%
Draws
13%
Atl. Madrid B W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Albacete W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Atl. Madrid B W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Albacete W.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Albacete W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Albacete W Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Madrid B W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albacete W Atl. Madrid B W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 11 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Albacete W vs Atl. Madrid B W
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Atl. Madrid B W vs Albacete W
3:0
Mar 1, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Atl. Madrid B W vs Albacete W
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Primera Federacion Women
Albacete W vs Atl. Madrid B W
1:0
Jan 27, 2024 Primera Federacion Women
Albacete W vs Atl. Madrid B W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albacete W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Atl. Madrid B W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ortega N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albacete W 77 / 100
Atl. Madrid B W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albacete W Atl. Madrid B W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albacete W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Atl. Madrid B W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Albacete W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Atl. Madrid B W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Albacete W VS Atl. Madrid B W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona B W26184467:2658
2Alaves W26175444:1556
3Valencia W261210435:1846
4Real Madrid B W26125935:2741
5Tenerife B W26116934:3639
6Villarreal W26108835:3138
7CA Osasuna W26961130:2633
8Albacete W2689925:3333
9Cacereno W26871122:3331
10Atl. Madrid B W26871126:3231
11SE AEM W26861226:3630
12CE Europa W26651529:4723
13Betis W26581324:4823
14Real Oviedo W26461618:4218