Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Albalonga vs Budoni Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ingretolli C.
87' Event
Coquin M.
90' Event
Venturi E.

AI Match Summary

Albalonga in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Albalonga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Albalonga
20%
Draws
57%
Budoni Calcio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Budoni Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Albalonga lately — more wins on the board than Budoni Calcio.
  • Model gives Budoni Calcio a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Albalonga have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Albalonga Clean Sheet 20%
Budoni Calcio Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albalonga Budoni Calcio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Albalonga vs Budoni Calcio
3:0
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Budoni Calcio vs Albalonga
1:1
Mar 24, 2019 Serie D - Group G
Budoni Calcio vs Albalonga
0:5
Nov 18, 2018 Serie D - Group G
Albalonga vs Budoni Calcio
1:0
Feb 11, 2018 Serie D - Group G
Budoni Calcio vs Albalonga
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albalonga Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingretolli C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coquin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Budoni Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albalonga 28 / 100
Budoni Calcio 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albalonga Budoni Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Budoni Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albalonga's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Budoni Calcio has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Albalonga has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Albalonga VS Budoni Calcio
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Albalonga

(Home)
10 May
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 0
Albalonga
03 May
Albalonga
1 : 4
Scafatese
26 Apr
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 0
Albalonga
18 Apr
Albalonga
1 : 1
Monastir
12 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 2
Albalonga
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Budoni Calcio

(Away)
03 May
Budoni Calcio
0 : 0
Latte Dolce
26 Apr
Flaminia
0 : 1
Budoni Calcio
19 Apr
Budoni Calcio
1 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
12 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 1
Budoni Calcio
02 Apr
Budoni Calcio
2 : 3
Valmontone
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)