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Albalonga vs Certosa V. Campagnano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Albalonga host Certosa V. Campagnano in the Serie D - Group G. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Certosa V. Campagnano have shipped 0.71 goals a game lately, while Albalonga have conceded 1.7 and scored 1.53. Past meetings favor Certosa V. Campagnano slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 7, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.75) point toward Certosa V. Campagnano. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Albalonga
20%
Draws
69%
Certosa V. Campagnano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Certosa V. Campagnano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Albalonga have won more games recently than Certosa V. Campagnano.
  • Certosa V. Campagnano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Albalonga Clean Sheet 12%
Certosa V. Campagnano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albalonga Certosa V. Campagnano
Matches Played 30 7
Wins 11 5
Draws 6 0
Losses 13 2
Goals Scored 1.53 2
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Certosa V. Campagnano vs Albalonga
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albalonga 10 / 100
Certosa V. Campagnano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albalonga Certosa V. Campagnano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Certosa V. Campagnano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Albalonga scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Certosa V. Campagnano let in goals in 57% of their last 7 matches.

Recent resilience: Albalonga stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Albalonga VS Certosa V. Campagnano
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Albalonga

(Home)
07 Oct
Certosa V. Campagnano
4 : 1
Albalonga
04 Oct
Albalonga
0 : 2
Anzio Calcio 1924
27 Sept
Monastir
2 : 2
Albalonga
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Aranova
1 : 0
Albalonga
Page 1 of 6

Certosa V. Campagnano

(Away)
07 Oct
Certosa V. Campagnano
4 : 1
Albalonga
04 Oct
Certosa V. Campagnano
2 : 1
Aranova
27 Sept
Anzio Calcio 1924
2 : 1
Certosa V. Campagnano
20 Sept
Certosa V. Campagnano
1 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2
Certosa V. Campagnano
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarnese 6 4 2 0 11:6 14
2 Monastir 6 4 1 1 17:9 13
3 Certosa V. Campagnano 6 4 0 2 10:4 12
4 Unipomezia 6 3 2 1 11:6 11
5 Ossese 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
6 Trastevere Calcio 6 3 2 1 8:10 11
7 Paganese 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
8 Anzio Calcio 1924 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
9 Albalonga 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
10 Gelbison 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
11 Budoni Calcio 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
12 Citta di Anagni 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
13 Aranova 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
14 Afragolese 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
15 Sarrabus Ogliastra 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Latte Dolce 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
17 US Venafro 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
18 Atl. Lodigiani 6 0 1 5 8:17 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)