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Albalonga vs FC Ponsacco

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2019/2020
Sun, Mar 8, 2020
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Albalonga play FC Ponsacco in the Serie D - Group E 2019/2020. Albalonga are favorites here. Recently, Albalonga averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. FC Ponsacco averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Albalonga won 0, FC Ponsacco won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 8, 2020 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Albalonga and 1.25 for FC Ponsacco. This points to a Albalonga double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Albalonga
44%
Draws
20%
FC Ponsacco
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Albalonga has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FC Ponsacco.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group E 2019/2020 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Albalonga Clean Sheet 19%
FC Ponsacco Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albalonga FC Ponsacco
Matches Played 32 22
Wins 12 1
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Albalonga vs FC Ponsacco
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Serie D - Group E
FC Ponsacco vs Albalonga
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albalonga 36 / 100
FC Ponsacco 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albalonga FC Ponsacco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albalonga scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

FC Ponsacco let in goals in 95% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Albalonga went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Ponsacco lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Albalonga VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%