Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Albania U21 vs Ukraine U21

World World

Friendly International 2025 Elbasan Arena, Elbasani
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Rashica E.
46'
Sub
Gusev O. In: Krupskyi I.
Out: Gusev O.
46'
Sub
Gusol A. In: Matkevych A.
Out: Gusol A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Albania U21 and Ukraine U21 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Albania U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Albania U21
30%
Draws
31%
Ukraine U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Albania U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Albania U21 come out ahead of Ukraine U21 on wins alone.
  • Albania U21 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Albania U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Ukraine U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albania U21 Ukraine U21
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2025 Friendly International
Albania U21 vs Ukraine U21
2:0
May 22, 2012 Friendly International
Ukraine U21 vs Albania U21
3:0
Oct 6, 2005 Euro U21
Ukraine U21 vs Albania U21
5:0
Feb 7, 2005 Euro U21
Albania U21 vs Ukraine U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albania U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rashica E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kote G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ukraine U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albania U21 58 / 100
Ukraine U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albania U21 Ukraine U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albania U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albania U21 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Ukraine U21 conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Albania U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Albania U21 VS Ukraine U21
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Albania U21

(Home)
26 Aug
Algeria U21
2 : 0
Albania U21
24 Aug
Albania U21
3 : 1
Kosovo U21
22 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 1
Albania U21
08 Jun
Italy U21
1 : 0
Albania U21
05 Jun
Slovenia U21
1 : 1
Albania U21
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Ukraine U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Japan U21
3 : 0
Ukraine U21
05 Jun
USA U21
3 : 1
Ukraine U21
31 Mar
Hungary U21
1 : 2
Ukraine U21
27 Mar
Ukraine U21
1 : 1
Lithuania U21
17 Nov
Albania U21
2 : 0
Ukraine U21
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