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Albania U21 vs Uzbekistan U23

World World

Friendly International Mardan Sports Complex
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AI Match Summary

Albania U21 play Uzbekistan U23 in the Friendly International. It looks like a close match. Recently, Albania U21 averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Uzbekistan U23 averaged 1.84 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. In past meetings, Albania U21 won 1, Uzbekistan U23 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 30, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Albania U21 and 1.50 for Uzbekistan U23. This points to a Albania U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Albania U21
16%
Draws
40%
Uzbekistan U23
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Albania U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Albania U21 picked up more points recently compared to Uzbekistan U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Albania U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Uzbekistan U23 Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albania U21 Uzbekistan U23
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 Friendly International
Albania U21 vs Uzbekistan U23
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albania U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Brruti E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rashica E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Uzbekistan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fayzullaev R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdurakhmonov F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albania U21 43 / 100
Uzbekistan U23 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albania U21 Uzbekistan U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Albania U21 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Albania U21 attacking → ← attacking Uzbekistan U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albania U21 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Uzbekistan U23 let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Albania U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Uzbekistan U23 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 56
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00