Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Albania vs Belarus

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Air Albania Stadium, Tirana
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Albania host Belarus in the UEFA Nations League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Albania have averaged 0.93 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Belarus's 1.18 scored and 1.57 conceded. Head-to-head, Albania have won 3 to Belarus's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 18, 2020, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 0.94, favoring Albania. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Albania
20%
Draws
80%
Belarus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belarus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Belarus haven't matched Albania's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Belarus a 80% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Albania Clean Sheet 24%
Belarus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albania Belarus
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.18
Goals Conceded 1 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Albania vs Belarus
3:2
Sep 4, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Belarus vs Albania
0:2
Nov 15, 2013 Friendly International
Belarus vs Albania
0:0
Mar 26, 2011 Euro
Albania vs Belarus
1:0
Oct 12, 2010 Euro
Belarus vs Albania
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albania 10 / 100
Belarus 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albania Belarus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belarus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belarus let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Albania scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Albania VS Belarus
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Albania

(Home)
06 Jun
Albania
0 : 1
Luxembourg
03 Jun
Albania
0 : 1
Israel
31 Mar
Ukraine
1 : 0
Albania
26 Mar
Poland
2 : 1
Albania
16 Nov
Albania
0 : 2
England
Page 1 of 6

Belarus

(Away)
09 Jun
Belarus
2 : 2
Burkina Faso
05 Jun
Belarus
4 : 1
Syria
29 Mar
Armenia
1 : 2
Belarus
26 Mar
Cyprus
0 : 1
Belarus
18 Nov
Belarus
0 : 0
Greece
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albania 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Belarus 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 San Marino 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Finland 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League D)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Armenia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Latvia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Montenegro 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Cyprus 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League D)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Moldova 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Faroe Islands 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Kazakhstan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League D)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estonia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Iceland 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Bulgaria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Luxembourg 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League D)