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Albania vs Liechtenstein

World World

Friendly International 2024 Haladás Sportkomplexum
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Albania play Liechtenstein in the Friendly International 2024. Albania are favorites here. Recently, Albania averaged 0.97 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Liechtenstein averaged 0.3 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Albania won 4, Liechtenstein won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 3, 2024 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Albania and 0.63 for Liechtenstein. This points to a Albania double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Albania
15%
Draws
14%
Liechtenstein
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Albania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Albania picked up more points recently compared to Liechtenstein.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23%
Albania Clean Sheet 29%
Liechtenstein Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albania Liechtenstein
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 2
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 0.97 0.3
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2024 Friendly International
Albania vs Liechtenstein
3:0
Sep 2, 2017 World Championship
Albania vs Liechtenstein
2:0
Oct 6, 2016 World Championship
Liechtenstein vs Albania
0:2
Aug 20, 2008 Friendly International
Albania vs Liechtenstein
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albania Compare

Top Goalscorer Broja A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Asani J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Liechtenstein Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albania 70 / 100
Liechtenstein 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albania Liechtenstein

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Albania & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.9%
1.59
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Albania attacking → ← attacking Liechtenstein

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albania scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Liechtenstein let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Albania went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Liechtenstein lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 10
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.63