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Albany Creek vs Gravatt

Australia Australia

Brisbane Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Russell A.
28' Event
Shaughnessy R.
36' Event
Russell A.

AI Match Summary

The Brisbane Premier League game between Albany Creek and Gravatt finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Albany Creek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Albany Creek
40%
Draws
29%
Gravatt
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Gravatt haven't matched Albany Creek's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Brisbane Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Albany Creek have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Albany Creek Clean Sheet 20%
Gravatt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albany Creek Gravatt
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 24 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
Albany Creek vs Gravatt
4:0
May 23, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
Gravatt vs Albany Creek
2:2
Aug 11, 2018 Brisbane Premier League
Albany Creek vs Gravatt
4:1
Apr 28, 2018 Brisbane Premier League
Gravatt vs Albany Creek
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albany Creek Compare

Top Goalscorer Russell A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Shaughnessy R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Gravatt Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albany Creek 32 / 100
Gravatt 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albany Creek Gravatt

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Albany Creek scored in 88% of their last 42 outings.

Gravatt let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Albany Creek stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Albany Creek VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Albany Creek221930102:1860
2Bayside United22142648:2544
3The Lakes FC22133660:4542
4St. George Willawong22122856:3938
5Gravatt22103938:4133
6Acacia Ridge22103942:4733
7Toowong City2295847:4632
8Univ. of Queensland22731227:4624
9Centenary Stormers22651130:4923
10The Gap22451319:4417
11Western Spirit FC22441436:7016
12Brisbane Knights22421629:6414