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Albany Rush vs Vermont Green

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Albany Rush play Vermont Green in the USL League Two 2025. Vermont Green are favorites here. Recently, Albany Rush averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.87 conceded. Vermont Green averaged 3.42 goals scored and 0.81 conceded. In past meetings, Albany Rush won 0, Vermont Green won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 22, 2026 ended 9:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Albany Rush and 3.19 for Vermont Green. This points to a Vermont Green double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Albany Rush
15%
Draws
66%
Vermont Green
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vermont Green

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Albany Rush picked up more points recently compared to Vermont Green.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 3.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Albany Rush Clean Sheet 10%
Vermont Green Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albany Rush Vermont Green
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 27
Draws 2 3
Losses 20 1
Goals Scored 1.2 3.42
Goals Conceded 2.87 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 4.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 USL League Two
Vermont Green vs Albany Rush
9:0
Jul 8, 2025 USL League Two
Vermont Green vs Albany Rush
6:0
Jun 4, 2025 USL League Two
Albany Rush vs Vermont Green
1:4
Jun 8, 2024 USL League Two
Albany Rush vs Vermont Green
1:2
Jun 13, 2023 USL League Two
Albany Rush vs Vermont Green
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albany Rush 19 / 100
Vermont Green 61 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albany Rush Vermont Green

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vermont Green Win (2)
Secondary Pick Vermont Green & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Albany Rush attacking → ← attacking Vermont Green

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albany Rush scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Vermont Green let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Albany Rush went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Vermont Green lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 84
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 4.63
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75