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Albany vs Eastern Suburbs Prediction & H2H Stats

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Albany in this Chatham Cup 2019 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Albany
25%
Draws
35%
Eastern Suburbs
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Albany

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Eastern Suburbs have won more games recently than Albany.
  • Win probability leans Albany's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Eastern Suburbs arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Albany, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Albany Clean Sheet 10%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albany Eastern Suburbs
Matches Played 2 30
Wins 1 12
Draws 0 6
Losses 1 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2019 Chatham Cup
Albany vs Eastern Suburbs
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albany 34 / 100
Eastern Suburbs 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albany Eastern Suburbs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Albany scored in 100% of their last 2 outings.

Eastern Suburbs let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Albany stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Eastern Suburbs
0 Goals Scored 3.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Albany

(Home)
04 Aug
Napier City
3 : 2
Albany
06 Jul
Albany
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs

Eastern Suburbs

(Away)
26 Sept
Ferrymead Bays
0 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2
Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3
Eastern Suburbs
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2
Western Suburbs
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Roslyn Wakari 2
Caversham 3
Bay Olympic 3
Manukau United 0
Waitakere City 1
Melville 3
Christchurch 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 1
Napier City 4
Western Suburbs 1
Albany 1
Eastern Suburbs 0
Onehunga 2
North Shore 0
Miramar 1
Wellington Olympic 3
Quarter-finals
Caversham 1
Bay Olympic 2
Melville 4
Christchurch 0
Napier City 3
Albany 2
Onehunga 5
Wellington Olympic 4
Semi-finals
Bay Olympic 0
Melville 2
Napier City 2
Onehunga 1
Final
Melville 2
Napier City 3