Sport Picks

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Albenga vs Borgaro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ferram J.

AI Match Summary

Borgaro in this Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Borgaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Albenga
15%
Draws
85%
Borgaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Borgaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Albenga haven't matched Borgaro's recent run of results.
  • Albenga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Albenga Clean Sheet 20%
Borgaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albenga Borgaro
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 1 6
Draws 0 4
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 0.37 0.83
Goals Conceded 3.37 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Albenga vs Borgaro
0:1
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Borgaro vs Albenga
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albenga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Borgaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferram J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albenga 85 / 100
Borgaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albenga Borgaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albenga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borgaro let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Borgaro registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Albenga's goal record stands at 32% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Albenga VS Borgaro
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Albenga

(Home)
09 Feb
Albenga
0 : 7
Vado
02 Feb
Derthona FbC
2 : 1
Albenga
29 Jan
Albenga
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
26 Jan
Saluzzo
5 : 0
Albenga
19 Jan
Albenga
0 : 1
Borgaro
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Borgaro

(Away)
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 0
Bra
17 Apr
Chisola
1 : 2
Borgaro
13 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 2
Lavagnese
06 Apr
NovaRomentin
8 : 2
Borgaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)