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Albenga vs Imperia Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Sun, May 4, 2025
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Albenga host Imperia Calcio in the Serie D - Group A 2024/2025. Imperia Calcio go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Albenga at 0.37 goals for, 3.37 against; Imperia Calcio at 1.19 for, 1.06 against. Past meetings favor Imperia Calcio slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 4, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.10 - 1.05) back Imperia Calcio to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Albenga
15%
Draws
85%
Imperia Calcio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Imperia Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Imperia Calcio have won more games recently than Albenga.
  • Albenga are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Albenga Clean Sheet 20%
Imperia Calcio Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albenga Imperia Calcio
Matches Played 19 32
Wins 1 11
Draws 0 10
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.37 1.19
Goals Conceded 3.37 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Albenga vs Imperia Calcio
0:0
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Albenga
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albenga 42 / 100
Imperia Calcio 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albenga Imperia Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imperia Calcio has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Imperia Calcio lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Albenga scored in 32% of their last 19 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Imperia Calcio
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Albenga

(Home)
09 Feb
Albenga
0 : 7
Vado
02 Feb
Derthona FbC
2 : 1
Albenga
29 Jan
Albenga
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
26 Jan
Saluzzo
5 : 0
Albenga
19 Jan
Albenga
0 : 1
Borgaro
Page 1 of 4

Imperia Calcio

(Away)
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
06 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 0
Millesimo
09 Aug
Pro Patria
2 : 1
Imperia Calcio
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)