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Albenga vs Vado

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Vita D.
6' Event
Casazza L.
25' Event
Alfiero V.

AI Match Summary

Vado in this Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Albenga
15%
Draws
85%
Vado
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vado lately — more wins on the board than Albenga.
  • Win probability leans Albenga's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Albenga Clean Sheet 12%
Vado Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albenga Vado
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 1 14
Draws 0 7
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.37 2
Goals Conceded 3.37 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Albenga vs Vado
0:7
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Albenga
1:1
Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Albenga
1:1
Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Albenga vs Vado
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albenga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Vado Compare

Top Goalscorer Alfiero V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vita D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albenga 65 / 100
Vado 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albenga Vado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albenga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vado's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Away concern: Vado has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Albenga's goal record stands at 32% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vado
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Albenga

(Home)
09 Feb
Albenga
0 : 7
Vado
02 Feb
Derthona FbC
2 : 1
Albenga
29 Jan
Albenga
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
26 Jan
Saluzzo
5 : 0
Albenga
19 Jan
Albenga
0 : 1
Borgaro
Page 1 of 4

Vado

(Away)
26 Sept
Sassari Torres
0 : 0
Vado
20 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Pescara
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Vado
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
06 Sept
Reggiana
3 : 1
Vado
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)