Sport Picks
Albergaria/Durit W vs Valadares Gaia W
Portugal
Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 Estádio do Mergulhão, Nogueira do Cravo 
Match Events
32'
32'
Lakip J.
Assist: Besugo N.
41'
41'
Lakip J.
Assist: Barge I.
58'
58'
Sub
Ibrahim A. In: Piazza A.
Out: Ibrahim A.
AI Match Summary
The Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 game between Albergaria/Durit W and Valadares Gaia W finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valadares Gaia W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Valadares Gaia W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Valadares Gaia W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Valadares Gaia W a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Valadares Gaia W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Albergaria/Durit W Clean Sheet 18%
Valadares Gaia W Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Albergaria/Durit W | Valadares Gaia W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 3 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 21 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 2, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Albergaria/Durit W vs Valadares Gaia W
0:4
Oct 27, 2024 Taça da Liga Women
Albergaria/Durit W vs Valadares Gaia W
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Albergaria/Durit W
5:0
Sep 8, 2024 Taça da Liga Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Albergaria/Durit W
1:0
Apr 13, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Albergaria/Durit W
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Albergaria/Durit W Compare
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
Valadares Gaia W Compare
Top Goalscorer Lakip J.
4 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Albergaria/Durit W 10 / 100
Valadares Gaia W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Albergaria/Durit W Valadares Gaia W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Valadares Gaia W conceded in 65% of 34 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Difficult form: Valadares Gaia W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Albergaria/Durit W scored in 27% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Albergaria/Durit W VS Valadares Gaia W
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Albergaria/Durit W
(Home) 30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0 Maritimo W
24 May
Maritimo W
1 : 0 Albergaria/Durit W
10 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 2 Torreense W
03 May
SL Benfica W
5 : 0 Albergaria/Durit W
12 Apr
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 6 Sporting W
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0 Maritimo W
10 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 2 Torreense W
12 Apr
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 6 Sporting W
15 Mar
Albergaria/Durit W
2 : 0 Maritimo W
02 Mar
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 4 Valadares Gaia W
Page 1 of 4
Valadares Gaia W
(Away) 10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1 Valadares Gaia W
02 May
Valadares Gaia W
0 : 1 Rio Ave W
25 Apr
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3 Damaiense W
03 Apr
Vitoria Guimaraes W
1 : 1 Valadares Gaia W
28 Mar
Torreense W
1 : 0 Valadares Gaia W
Page 1 of 7
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1 Valadares Gaia W
03 Apr
Vitoria Guimaraes W
1 : 1 Valadares Gaia W
28 Mar
Torreense W
1 : 0 Valadares Gaia W
14 Mar
SL Benfica W
2 : 2 Valadares Gaia W
08 Feb
Braga W
0 : 0 Valadares Gaia W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SL Benfica W | 22 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 65:10 | 62 |
| 2 | Sporting W | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 66:9 | 54 |
| 3 | Braga W | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 51:17 | 42 |
| 4 | Torreense W | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 46:22 | 41 |
| 5 | Valadares Gaia W | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 44:24 | 38 |
| 6 | Racing Power W | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 34 |
| 7 | Maritimo W | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 28:26 | 30 |
| 8 | Damaiense W | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 22:29 | 26 |
| 9 | Famalicao W | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 32:54 | 23 |
| 10 | Estoril Praia W | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 28:49 | 19 |
| 11 | Albergaria/Durit W | 22 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 13:60 | 11 |
| 12 | Vilaverdense W | 22 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 4:111 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)