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Alberts JDFS vs Grobina

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga 2025 RTU Stadions
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Dobrecovs D.
Penalty Missed
20'
Dzerins R.
26'
Marusii M.

AI Match Summary

Alberts JDFS host Grobina in the Virsliga 2025. Little to choose between these two on current form. Grobina have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Alberts JDFS have conceded 1.63 and scored 2.5. Head-to-head, Alberts JDFS have won 1 to Grobina's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Nov 23, 2025, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.00) point toward Alberts JDFS. Alberts JDFS in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Alberts JDFS
33%
Draws
27%
Grobina
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Alberts JDFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Alberts JDFS has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Grobina.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Alberts JDFS.
  • Cup tournament structure in Virsliga 2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Alberts JDFS Clean Sheet 20%
Grobina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alberts JDFS Grobina
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 8
Draws 6 11
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Virsliga
Alberts JDFS vs Grobina
0:1
Nov 20, 2025 Virsliga
Grobina vs Alberts JDFS
0:0
Nov 23, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Alberts JDFS vs Grobina
0:2
Nov 20, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Grobina vs Alberts JDFS
2:3
Sep 30, 2023 Nakotnes liga
Alberts JDFS vs Grobina
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alberts JDFS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Grobina Compare

Top Goalscorer Grjaznovs A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alberts JDFS 40 / 100
Grobina 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alberts JDFS Grobina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alberts JDFS scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Grobina let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Alberts JDFS went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Grobina lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alberts JDFS VS Grobina
2.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Grobina1
Alberts JDFS0