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Alberts JDFS vs JFK Ventspils - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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1. Liga
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alberts JDFS host JFK Ventspils in the 1. Liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Alberts JDFS have averaged 1.97 scored and 1.27 conceded recently, against JFK Ventspils's 1 scored and 1.83 conceded. Past meetings favor Alberts JDFS slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 0.81) point toward Alberts JDFS. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Alberts JDFS
20%
Draws
29%
JFK Ventspils
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alberts JDFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Alberts JDFS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Alberts JDFS a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Alberts JDFS have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Alberts JDFS Clean Sheet 20%
JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alberts JDFS JFK Ventspils
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.97 1
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils vs Alberts JDFS
1:3
Oct 5, 2025 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs JFK Ventspils
2:0
May 25, 2025 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils vs Alberts JDFS
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs JFK Ventspils
2:0
Jul 6, 2024 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils vs Alberts JDFS
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alberts JDFS 85 / 100
JFK Ventspils 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alberts JDFS JFK Ventspils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alberts JDFS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alberts JDFS found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

JFK Ventspils's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Alberts JDFS stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alberts JDFS VS JFK Ventspils
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alberts JDFS

(Home)
18 Oct
Leevon PPK
2 : 2
Alberts JDFS
10 Oct
Skanste
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
19 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 3
FK Metta
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 6

JFK Ventspils

(Away)
18 Oct
JFK Ventspils
0 : 0
Marupe
10 Oct
JFK Ventspils
0 : 4
Leevon PPK
26 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
1 : 0
JFK Ventspils
20 Sept
JFK Ventspils
1 : 0
Skanste
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0
JFK Ventspils
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 23 19 3 1 96:18 60
2 Valmiera 23 16 5 2 63:26 53
3 Leevon PPK 23 16 5 2 49:27 53
4 Riga Mariners 23 15 5 3 54:30 50
5 Alberts JDFS 23 12 5 6 46:33 41
6 Marupe 23 10 3 10 37:34 33
7 Riga FC 2 23 8 6 9 36:39 30
8 Skanste 23 8 2 13 46:48 26
9 Super Nova 2 23 6 8 9 30:36 26
10 FK Smiltene 23 5 5 13 34:61 20
11 Tukums 2000 2 23 5 4 14 31:65 19
12 RFS 2 23 5 3 15 37:65 18
13 JFK Ventspils 23 3 7 13 21:45 16
14 Rezekne 23 1 3 19 17:70 6
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